Sat, Oct 11 2025 • 14:00 •
Estadio La Espiguera
Expected Goals
0.30 (league 1.34)
0.47 (league 1.02)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 17.1% | 53.1% | 29.8% |
best score tips
0 - 0
46.3%
0 - 1
21.9%
1 - 0
13.8%
Score & goals probability table
| El Palo | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| UD Melilla II | 0 | 46.3% | 21.9% | 5.2% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 13.8% | 6.5% | 1.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 2 | 2.0% | 1.0% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
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Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | UD Melilla II | El Palo |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 40% | 40% |
| Attack | 25% | 50% |
| Defense | 63% | 38% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 2 | 0.4 | 4 | 0.8 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 3 | 0.6 | 5 | 1 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
1.20
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
0.00
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
1.60
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
0.00
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
20%
FT probability
2.5+
14%
FT probability
3.5+
10%
FT probability
BTTS
21%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
0 - 0 cards
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | UD Melilla II | El Palo | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 2 | 3 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 5 |
| Wins | 0% | 33% | 20% | 33% | 0% | 20% |
| Draws | 100% | 33% | 60% | 33% | 100% | 60% |
| Loses | 0% | 33% | 20% | 33% | 0% | 20% |
Form: UD Melilla II: LDDDW • El Palo: LDDDW
League goals
| Metric | UD Melilla II | El Palo | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 0 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 4 |
| GF avg | 0.0 | 0.7 | 0.4 | 1.3 | 0.0 | 0.8 |
| GA total | 0 | 3 | 3 | 5 | 0 | 5 |
| GA avg | 0.0 | 1.0 | 0.6 | 1.7 | 0.0 | 1.0 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | UD Melilla II | El Palo | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 40% | 40% | 40% | 60% |
| 1.5 | 0% | 20% | 40% | 40% |
| 2.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| 3.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| 4.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | UD Melilla II | El Palo | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 2 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 2 |
| Failed to score | 2 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 3 |
Penalties
| Metric | UD Melilla II | El Palo |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 1 | 100.00% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 0 | 1 |
Streaks
| Metric | UD Melilla II | El Palo |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 0 | 0 |
| Draws | 3 | 3 |
| Losses | 1 | 1 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | — | 0-1 | 2-1 | — |
| Biggest losses | — | 2-0 | 0-2 | — |
| Goals For | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 |
| Goals Against | 0 | 2 | 2 | 0 |
Model comparison
| Metric | UD Melilla II | El Palo |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 50% | 50% |
| Att | 33% | 67% |
| Def | 63% | 38% |
| Poisson Distribution | 0% | 0% |
| H2h | 0% | 0% |
| Goals | 0% | 0% |
| Total | 48.7% | 51.7% |
Advice: Combo Double chance : UD Melilla II or draw and -3.5 goals
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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
No odds available for this fixture.
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League standings
Loading standings…
Expected goals (λ): UD Melilla II = 0.30 (league 1.34), El Palo = 0.47 (league 1.02)
| El Palo | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| UD Melilla II | 0 | 46.3% | 21.9% | 5.2% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 13.8% | 6.5% | 1.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 2 | 2.0% | 1.0% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Outcome probabilities: Home win 17.1% · Draw 53.1% · Away win 29.8%
Vtot 1 , Vtod1