Sat, Oct 11 2025 • 16:00 •
Estadio Municipal
Expected Goals
1.88 (league 1.33)
0.47 (league 1.07)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 70.3% | 20.0% | 8.4% |
best score tips
1 - 0
18.0%
2 - 0
16.9%
3 - 0
10.6%
Score & goals probability table
| Torreperogil | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Marbelli | 0 | 9.6% | 4.5% | 1.1% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 18.0% | 8.4% | 2.0% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 2 | 16.9% | 7.9% | 1.9% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 10.6% | 5.0% | 1.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 5.0% | 2.3% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 1.9% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
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Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Marbelli | Torreperogil |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 47% | 13% |
| Attack | 75% | 25% |
| Defense | 25% | 13% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 6 | 1.2 | 2 | 0.4 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 6 | 1.2 | 7 | 1.4 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
1.60
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
1.50
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.60
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
3.50
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
66%
FT probability
2.5+
46%
FT probability
3.5+
33%
FT probability
BTTS
67%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
- no cards data
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Marbelli | Torreperogil | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 2 | 3 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 5 |
| Wins | 50% | 33% | 40% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| Draws | 0% | 33% | 20% | 67% | 0% | 40% |
| Loses | 50% | 33% | 40% | 33% | 100% | 60% |
Form: Marbelli: WWDLL • Torreperogil: LDLLD
League goals
| Metric | Marbelli | Torreperogil | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 2 | 4 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 2 |
| GF avg | 1.0 | 1.3 | 1.2 | 0.3 | 0.5 | 0.4 |
| GA total | 2 | 4 | 6 | 2 | 5 | 7 |
| GA avg | 1.0 | 1.3 | 1.2 | 0.7 | 2.5 | 1.4 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Marbelli | Torreperogil | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 80% | 80% | 40% | 80% |
| 1.5 | 40% | 40% | 0% | 40% |
| 2.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 20% |
| 3.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| 4.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Marbelli | Torreperogil | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 |
| Failed to score | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 3 |
Penalties
| Metric | Marbelli | Torreperogil |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 1 | 100.00% | 0 | 0% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 1 | 0 |
Streaks
| Metric | Marbelli | Torreperogil |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 2 | 0 |
| Draws | 1 | 1 |
| Losses | 0 | 2 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 1-0 | 1-2 | — | — |
| Biggest losses | 1-2 | 1-0 | 0-1 | 3-0 |
| Goals For | 1 | 2 | 1 | 1 |
| Goals Against | 2 | 2 | 1 | 3 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Marbelli | Torreperogil |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 78% | 22% |
| Att | 75% | 25% |
| Def | 54% | 46% |
| Poisson Distribution | 75% | 25% |
| H2h | 50% | 50% |
| Goals | 40% | 60% |
| Total | 62.0% | 38.0% |
Advice: Double chance : Marbelli or draw
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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
No odds available for this fixture.
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League standings
Loading standings…
Expected goals (λ): Marbelli = 1.88 (league 1.33), Torreperogil = 0.47 (league 1.07)
| Torreperogil | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Marbelli | 0 | 9.6% | 4.5% | 1.1% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 18.0% | 8.4% | 2.0% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 2 | 16.9% | 7.9% | 1.9% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 10.6% | 5.0% | 1.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 5.0% | 2.3% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 1.9% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Outcome probabilities: Home win 70.3% · Draw 20.0% · Away win 8.4%
Vtot 1 , Vtod1