Sun, Oct 19 2025 • 10:30 •
Venue TBA
Expected Goals
1.26 (league 1.34)
1.28 (league 1.02)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 35.9% | 26.8% | 36.9% |
best score tips
1 - 1
12.7%
0 - 1
10.1%
1 - 0
10.0%
Score & goals probability table
| Marbelli | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Churriana Vega | 0 | 7.9% | 10.1% | 6.5% | 2.8% | 0.9% | 0.2% |
| 1 | 10.0% | 12.7% | 8.1% | 3.5% | 1.1% | 0.3% | |
| 2 | 6.3% | 8.0% | 5.1% | 2.2% | 0.7% | 0.2% | |
| 3 | 2.6% | 3.4% | 2.1% | 0.9% | 0.3% | 0.1% | |
| 4 | 0.8% | 1.1% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
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Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Churriana Vega | Marbelli |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 60% | 33% |
| Attack | 50% | 42% |
| Defense | 58% | 50% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 6 | 1.2 | 5 | 1 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 5 | 1 | 6 | 1.2 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.40
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.60
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.20
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.30
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
68%
FT probability
2.5+
48%
FT probability
3.5+
34%
FT probability
BTTS
71%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
- no cards data
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Churriana Vega | Marbelli | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 3 | 3 | 6 | 3 | 3 | 6 |
| Wins | 67% | 33% | 50% | 33% | 33% | 33% |
| Draws | 0% | 33% | 17% | 33% | 33% | 33% |
| Loses | 33% | 33% | 33% | 33% | 33% | 33% |
Form: Churriana Vega: DWWLWL • Marbelli: WWDLLD
League goals
| Metric | Churriana Vega | Marbelli | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 4 | 3 | 7 | 3 | 4 | 7 |
| GF avg | 1.3 | 1.0 | 1.2 | 1.0 | 1.3 | 1.2 |
| GA total | 3 | 3 | 6 | 3 | 4 | 7 |
| GA avg | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1.3 | 1.2 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Churriana Vega | Marbelli | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 100% | 50% | 83% | 83% |
| 1.5 | 17% | 33% | 33% | 33% |
| 2.5 | 0% | 17% | 0% | 0% |
| 3.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| 4.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Churriana Vega | Marbelli | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 2 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 |
| Failed to score | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 |
Penalties
| Metric | Churriana Vega | Marbelli |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 1 | 100.00% | 1 | 100.00% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 1 | 1 |
Streaks
| Metric | Churriana Vega | Marbelli |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 2 | 2 |
| Draws | 1 | 1 |
| Losses | 1 | 2 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 1-0 | 0-1 | 1-0 | 1-2 |
| Biggest losses | 2-3 | 2-1 | 1-2 | 1-0 |
| Goals For | 2 | 1 | 1 | 2 |
| Goals Against | 3 | 2 | 2 | 2 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Churriana Vega | Marbelli |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 64% | 36% |
| Att | 55% | 45% |
| Def | 55% | 45% |
| Poisson Distribution | 45% | 55% |
| H2h | 0% | 0% |
| Goals | 0% | 0% |
| Total | 54.8% | 45.3% |
Advice: Double chance : Churriana Vega or draw
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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
No odds available for this fixture.
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League standings
Loading standings…
Expected goals (λ): Churriana Vega = 1.26 (league 1.34), Marbelli = 1.28 (league 1.02)
| Marbelli | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Churriana Vega | 0 | 7.9% | 10.1% | 6.5% | 2.8% | 0.9% | 0.2% |
| 1 | 10.0% | 12.7% | 8.1% | 3.5% | 1.1% | 0.3% | |
| 2 | 6.3% | 8.0% | 5.1% | 2.2% | 0.7% | 0.2% | |
| 3 | 2.6% | 3.4% | 2.1% | 0.9% | 0.3% | 0.1% | |
| 4 | 0.8% | 1.1% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Outcome probabilities: Home win 35.9% · Draw 26.8% · Away win 36.9%
Vtot 2 , Vtod1