Sat, Oct 18 2025 • 16:00 •
Estadio Nuevo Municipal
Expected Goals
1.25 (league 1.35)
1.02 (league 0.98)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 41.2% | 28.3% | 30.2% |
best score tips
1 - 1
13.2%
1 - 0
12.9%
0 - 1
10.6%
Score & goals probability table
| Mancha Real | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Arenas Armilla | 0 | 10.3% | 10.6% | 5.4% | 1.8% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| 1 | 12.9% | 13.2% | 6.7% | 2.3% | 0.6% | 0.1% | |
| 2 | 8.0% | 8.2% | 4.2% | 1.4% | 0.4% | 0.1% | |
| 3 | 3.3% | 3.4% | 1.8% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 1.0% | 1.1% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
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Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Arenas Armilla | Mancha Real |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 60% | 53% |
| Attack | 31% | 31% |
| Defense | 75% | 75% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 5 | 1 | 5 | 1 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 4 | 0.8 | 4 | 0.8 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.40
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.30
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
1.50
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.30
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
61%
FT probability
2.5+
43%
FT probability
3.5+
30%
FT probability
BTTS
64%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
0 - 0 cards
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Arenas Armilla | Mancha Real | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 3 | 3 | 6 | 3 | 3 | 6 |
| Wins | 67% | 67% | 67% | 67% | 33% | 50% |
| Draws | 0% | 0% | 0% | 33% | 33% | 33% |
| Loses | 33% | 33% | 33% | 0% | 33% | 17% |
Form: Arenas Armilla: WWWWLL • Mancha Real: WDLWDW
League goals
| Metric | Arenas Armilla | Mancha Real | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 4 | 3 | 7 | 4 | 3 | 7 |
| GF avg | 1.3 | 1.0 | 1.2 | 1.3 | 1.0 | 1.2 |
| GA total | 3 | 1 | 4 | 1 | 4 | 5 |
| GA avg | 1.0 | 0.3 | 0.7 | 0.3 | 1.3 | 0.8 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Arenas Armilla | Mancha Real | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 67% | 50% | 67% | 67% |
| 1.5 | 50% | 17% | 50% | 17% |
| 2.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| 3.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| 4.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Arenas Armilla | Mancha Real | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 1 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 2 |
| Failed to score | 1 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 2 |
Penalties
| Metric | Arenas Armilla | Mancha Real |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 2 | 100.00% | 0 | 0% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 2 | 0 |
Streaks
| Metric | Arenas Armilla | Mancha Real |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 4 | 1 |
| Draws | 0 | 1 |
| Losses | 0 | 1 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 2-0 | 0-2 | 2-0 | 1-2 |
| Biggest losses | 0-2 | 1-0 | — | 2-0 |
| Goals For | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 |
| Goals Against | 2 | 1 | 1 | 2 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Arenas Armilla | Mancha Real |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 53% | 47% |
| Att | 50% | 50% |
| Def | 50% | 50% |
| Poisson Distribution | 53% | 47% |
| H2h | 91% | 9% |
| Goals | 67% | 33% |
| Total | 60.7% | 39.3% |
Advice: Double chance : Arenas Armilla or draw
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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
No odds available for this fixture.
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League standings
Loading standings…
Expected goals (λ): Arenas Armilla = 1.25 (league 1.35), Mancha Real = 1.02 (league 0.98)
| Mancha Real | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Arenas Armilla | 0 | 10.3% | 10.6% | 5.4% | 1.8% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| 1 | 12.9% | 13.2% | 6.7% | 2.3% | 0.6% | 0.1% | |
| 2 | 8.0% | 8.2% | 4.2% | 1.4% | 0.4% | 0.1% | |
| 3 | 3.3% | 3.4% | 1.8% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 1.0% | 1.1% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Outcome probabilities: Home win 41.2% · Draw 28.3% · Away win 30.2%
Vtot 1 , Vtod1