Sun, Oct 26 2025 • 11:00 •
Estadio Polideportivo La Juventud
Expected Goals
0.68 (league 1.33)
0.48 (league 1.07)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 35.4% | 42.4% | 22.3% |
best score tips
0 - 0
31.3%
1 - 0
21.4%
0 - 1
15.0%
Score & goals probability table
| Motril | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Mancha Real | 0 | 31.3% | 15.0% | 3.6% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 21.4% | 10.2% | 2.5% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 2 | 7.3% | 3.5% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 1.7% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
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Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Mancha Real | Motril |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 53% | 87% |
| Attack | 42% | 75% |
| Defense | 67% | 75% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 5 | 1 | 9 | 1.8 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 4 | 0.8 | 3 | 0.6 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.40
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
3.00
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
1.10
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
1.00
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
54%
FT probability
2.5+
38%
FT probability
3.5+
27%
FT probability
BTTS
50%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
- no cards data
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Mancha Real | Motril | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 3 | 4 | 7 | 4 | 3 | 7 |
| Wins | 67% | 25% | 43% | 75% | 67% | 71% |
| Draws | 33% | 50% | 43% | 25% | 33% | 29% |
| Loses | 0% | 25% | 14% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
Form: Mancha Real: WDLWDWD • Motril: WDWWWWD
League goals
| Metric | Mancha Real | Motril | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 4 | 3 | 7 | 5 | 5 | 10 |
| GF avg | 1.3 | 0.8 | 1.0 | 1.3 | 1.7 | 1.4 |
| GA total | 1 | 4 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 3 |
| GA avg | 0.3 | 1.0 | 0.7 | 0.3 | 0.7 | 0.4 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Mancha Real | Motril | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 57% | 57% | 86% | 29% |
| 1.5 | 43% | 14% | 43% | 14% |
| 2.5 | 0% | 0% | 14% | 0% |
| 3.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| 4.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Mancha Real | Motril | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 2 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 5 |
| Failed to score | 1 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 1 |
Penalties
| Metric | Mancha Real | Motril |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 0 | 0 |
Streaks
| Metric | Mancha Real | Motril |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 1 | 4 |
| Draws | 1 | 1 |
| Losses | 1 | 0 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 2-0 | 1-2 | 2-0 | 0-2 |
| Biggest losses | — | 2-0 | — | — |
| Goals For | 2 | 2 | 2 | 3 |
| Goals Against | 1 | 2 | 1 | 2 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Mancha Real | Motril |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 38% | 62% |
| Att | 36% | 64% |
| Def | 43% | 57% |
| Poisson Distribution | 49% | 51% |
| H2h | 93% | 7% |
| Goals | 69% | 31% |
| Total | 54.7% | 45.3% |
Advice: Combo Double chance : Mancha Real or draw and -3.5 goals
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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
No odds available for this fixture.
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League standings
Loading standings…
Expected goals (λ): Mancha Real = 0.68 (league 1.33), Motril = 0.48 (league 1.07)
| Motril | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Mancha Real | 0 | 31.3% | 15.0% | 3.6% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 21.4% | 10.2% | 2.5% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 2 | 7.3% | 3.5% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 1.7% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Outcome probabilities: Home win 35.4% · Draw 42.4% · Away win 22.3%
Vtot 1 , Vtod1