Sun, Oct 26 2025 • 17:30 •
Estadio Municipal
Expected Goals
0.22 (league 1.35)
1.02 (league 0.98)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 7.9% | 35.7% | 56.3% |
best score tips
0 - 1
29.5%
0 - 0
28.8%
0 - 2
15.1%
Score & goals probability table
| Arenas Armilla | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Marbelli | 0 | 28.8% | 29.5% | 15.1% | 5.2% | 1.3% | 0.3% |
| 1 | 6.4% | 6.5% | 3.3% | 1.1% | 0.3% | 0.1% | |
| 2 | 0.7% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
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Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Marbelli | Arenas Armilla |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 13% | 47% |
| Attack | 21% | 16% |
| Defense | 63% | 79% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 4 | 0.8 | 3 | 0.6 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 7 | 1.4 | 4 | 0.8 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.00
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.00
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
1.70
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
1.30
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
50%
FT probability
2.5+
35%
FT probability
3.5+
25%
FT probability
BTTS
59%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
0 - 0 cards
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Marbelli | Arenas Armilla | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 3 | 4 | 7 | 4 | 3 | 7 |
| Wins | 33% | 25% | 29% | 50% | 67% | 57% |
| Draws | 33% | 25% | 29% | 25% | 0% | 14% |
| Loses | 33% | 50% | 43% | 25% | 33% | 29% |
Form: Marbelli: WWDLLDL • Arenas Armilla: WWWWLLD
League goals
| Metric | Marbelli | Arenas Armilla | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 3 | 4 | 7 | 4 | 3 | 7 |
| GF avg | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 |
| GA total | 3 | 5 | 8 | 3 | 1 | 4 |
| GA avg | 1.0 | 1.3 | 1.1 | 0.8 | 0.3 | 0.6 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Marbelli | Arenas Armilla | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 71% | 86% | 57% | 43% |
| 1.5 | 29% | 29% | 43% | 14% |
| 2.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| 3.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| 4.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Marbelli | Arenas Armilla | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 4 |
| Failed to score | 0 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 3 |
Penalties
| Metric | Marbelli | Arenas Armilla |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 1 | 100.00% | 2 | 100.00% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 1 | 2 |
Streaks
| Metric | Marbelli | Arenas Armilla |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 2 | 4 |
| Draws | 1 | 0 |
| Losses | 2 | 2 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 1-0 | 1-2 | 2-0 | 0-2 |
| Biggest losses | 1-2 | 1-0 | 0-2 | 1-0 |
| Goals For | 1 | 2 | 2 | 2 |
| Goals Against | 2 | 2 | 2 | 1 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Marbelli | Arenas Armilla |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 22% | 78% |
| Att | 57% | 43% |
| Def | 36% | 64% |
| Poisson Distribution | 16% | 84% |
| H2h | 20% | 80% |
| Goals | 33% | 67% |
| Total | 30.7% | 69.3% |
Advice: Combo Double chance : draw or Arenas Armilla and -3.5 goals
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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
No odds available for this fixture.
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League standings
Loading standings…
Expected goals (λ): Marbelli = 0.22 (league 1.35), Arenas Armilla = 1.02 (league 0.98)
| Arenas Armilla | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Marbelli | 0 | 28.8% | 29.5% | 15.1% | 5.2% | 1.3% | 0.3% |
| 1 | 6.4% | 6.5% | 3.3% | 1.1% | 0.3% | 0.1% | |
| 2 | 0.7% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Outcome probabilities: Home win 7.9% · Draw 35.7% · Away win 56.3%
Vtot 1 , Vtod1