Sun, Nov 2 2025 • 16:00 •
Estadio Escribano Castilla
Expected Goals
1.45 (league 1.34)
0.24 (league 1.02)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 68.4% | 25.4% | 5.8% |
best score tips
1 - 0
26.9%
2 - 0
19.5%
0 - 0
18.5%
Score & goals probability table
| Alhaurino | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Motril | 0 | 18.5% | 4.4% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 26.9% | 6.3% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 2 | 19.5% | 4.6% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 9.4% | 2.2% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 3.4% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 1.0% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
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Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Motril | Alhaurino |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 87% | 53% |
| Attack | 75% | 58% |
| Defense | 75% | 42% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 9 | 1.8 | 7 | 1.4 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 3 | 0.6 | 7 | 1.4 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.70
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.10
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
1.80
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
1.80
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
60%
FT probability
2.5+
42%
FT probability
3.5+
30%
FT probability
BTTS
61%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
- no cards data
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Motril | Alhaurino | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 4 | 4 | 8 | 4 | 4 | 8 |
| Wins | 75% | 75% | 75% | 75% | 0% | 38% |
| Draws | 25% | 25% | 25% | 0% | 50% | 25% |
| Loses | 0% | 0% | 0% | 25% | 50% | 38% |
Form: Motril: WDWWWWDW • Alhaurino: LLWDWDWL
League goals
| Metric | Motril | Alhaurino | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 5 | 6 | 11 | 7 | 3 | 10 |
| GF avg | 1.3 | 1.5 | 1.4 | 1.8 | 0.8 | 1.3 |
| GA total | 1 | 2 | 3 | 5 | 6 | 11 |
| GA avg | 0.3 | 0.5 | 0.4 | 1.3 | 1.5 | 1.4 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Motril | Alhaurino | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 88% | 25% | 75% | 88% |
| 1.5 | 38% | 13% | 50% | 25% |
| 2.5 | 13% | 0% | 0% | 13% |
| 3.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 13% |
| 4.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Motril | Alhaurino | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 3 | 3 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 1 |
| Failed to score | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 |
Penalties
| Metric | Motril | Alhaurino |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 1 | 100.00% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 0 | 1 |
Streaks
| Metric | Motril | Alhaurino |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 4 | 1 |
| Draws | 1 | 1 |
| Losses | 0 | 2 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 2-0 | 0-2 | 2-1 | — |
| Biggest losses | — | — | 1-2 | 4-2 |
| Goals For | 2 | 3 | 2 | 2 |
| Goals Against | 1 | 2 | 2 | 4 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Motril | Alhaurino |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 62% | 38% |
| Att | 56% | 44% |
| Def | 70% | 30% |
| Poisson Distribution | 85% | 15% |
| H2h | 9% | 91% |
| Goals | 33% | 67% |
| Total | 52.5% | 47.5% |
Advice: Double chance : Motril or draw
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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
No odds available for this fixture.
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League standings
Loading standings…
Expected goals (λ): Motril = 1.45 (league 1.34), Alhaurino = 0.24 (league 1.02)
| Alhaurino | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Motril | 0 | 18.5% | 4.4% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 26.9% | 6.3% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 2 | 19.5% | 4.6% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 9.4% | 2.2% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 3.4% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 1.0% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Outcome probabilities: Home win 68.4% · Draw 25.4% · Away win 5.8%
Vtot 2 , Vtod1