Sun, Nov 9 2025 ā¢ 18:00 ā¢
Estadio Municipal
Expected Goals
0.37 (league 1.36)
1.16 (league 1.03)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 11.7% | 32.0% | 56.2% |
best score tips
0 - 1
25.2%
0 - 0
21.7%
0 - 2
14.6%
Score & goals probability table
| Motril | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Marbelli | 0 | 21.7% | 25.2% | 14.6% | 5.7% | 1.6% | 0.4% |
| 1 | 8.0% | 9.3% | 5.4% | 2.1% | 0.6% | 0.1% | |
| 2 | 1.5% | 1.7% | 1.0% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
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Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Marbelli | Motril |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 47% | 87% |
| Attack | 38% | 100% |
| Defense | 63% | 88% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 3 | 0.6 | 8 | 1.6 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 3 | 0.6 | 1 | 0.2 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.40
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.50
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
1.20
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
1.30
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
53%
FT probability
2.5+
37%
FT probability
3.5+
26%
FT probability
BTTS
58%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
- no cards data
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Marbelli | Motril | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 4 | 5 | 9 | 5 | 4 | 9 |
| Wins | 50% | 40% | 44% | 80% | 75% | 78% |
| Draws | 25% | 20% | 22% | 20% | 25% | 22% |
| Loses | 25% | 40% | 33% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
Form: Marbelli: WWDLLDLWW ā¢ Motril: WDWWWWDWW
League goals
| Metric | Marbelli | Motril | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 4 | 5 | 9 | 7 | 6 | 13 |
| GF avg | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1.4 | 1.5 | 1.4 |
| GA total | 3 | 5 | 8 | 1 | 2 | 3 |
| GA avg | 0.8 | 1.0 | 0.9 | 0.2 | 0.5 | 0.3 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Marbelli | Motril | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 78% | 67% | 89% | 22% |
| 1.5 | 22% | 22% | 44% | 11% |
| 2.5 | 0% | 0% | 11% | 0% |
| 3.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| 4.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Marbelli | Motril | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 2 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 3 | 7 |
| Failed to score | 0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 |
Penalties
| Metric | Marbelli | Motril |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 1 | 100.00% | 1 | 100.00% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 1 | 1 |
Streaks
| Metric | Marbelli | Motril |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 2 | 4 |
| Draws | 1 | 1 |
| Losses | 2 | 0 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 1-0 | 1-2 | 2-0 | 0-2 |
| Biggest losses | 1-2 | 1-0 | ā | ā |
| Goals For | 1 | 2 | 2 | 3 |
| Goals Against | 2 | 2 | 1 | 2 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Marbelli | Motril |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 35% | 65% |
| Att | 27% | 73% |
| Def | 25% | 75% |
| Poisson Distribution | 21% | 79% |
| H2h | 20% | 80% |
| Goals | 0% | 100% |
| Total | 25.6% | 74.4% |
Advice: Combo Double chance : draw or Motril and -3.5 goals
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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
No odds available for this fixture.
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League standings
Loading standingsā¦
Expected goals (Ī»): Marbelli = 0.37 (league 1.36), Motril = 1.16 (league 1.03)
| Motril | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Marbelli | 0 | 21.7% | 25.2% | 14.6% | 5.7% | 1.6% | 0.4% |
| 1 | 8.0% | 9.3% | 5.4% | 2.1% | 0.6% | 0.1% | |
| 2 | 1.5% | 1.7% | 1.0% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Outcome probabilities: Home win 11.7% Ā· Draw 32.0% Ā· Away win 56.2%
Vtot 1 , Vtod1