Sun, Nov 16 2025 • 17:00 • Estadio Escribano Castilla
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.87 (league 1.34) 0.16 (league 1.02)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
78.9% 17.3% 2.6%
best score tips
1 - 0
24.6%
2 - 0
23.0%
3 - 0
14.4%
Score & goals probability table
UD San Pedro
0 1 2 3 4 5
Motril 0 13.1% 2.1% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
1 24.6% 3.9% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
2 23.0% 3.6% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
3 14.4% 2.3% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
4 6.7% 1.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 2.5% 0.4% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricMotrilUD San Pedro
Played55
Form73%67%
Attack88%100%
Defense75%25%
Goals For (tot | avg)7 | 1.49 | 1.8
Goals Against (tot | avg)2 | 0.46 | 1.2

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.50
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.20
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

1.80
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.00
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

61%
FT probability

2.5+

43%
FT probability

3.5+

30%
FT probability

BTTS

61%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

- no cards data
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Motril UD San Pedro
HATHAT
Played55105510
Wins80%60%70%40%20%30%
Draws20%40%30%0%20%10%
Loses0%0%0%60%60%60%

Form: Motril: WDWWWWDWWD • UD San Pedro: LLLLLLWDWW

League goals

Metric Motril UD San Pedro
HATHAT
GF total77147411
GF avg1.41.41.41.40.81.1
GA total1345914
GA avg0.20.60.41.01.81.4

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineMotrilUD San Pedro
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.590%30%70%70%
1.540%10%30%40%
2.510%0%10%10%
3.50%0%0%10%
4.50%0%0%10%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricMotrilUD San Pedro
HATHAT
Clean sheets437213
Failed to score011123

Penalties

MetricMotrilUD San Pedro
Scored (total | %)1 | 100.00%0 | 0%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total10

Streaks

MetricMotrilUD San Pedro
Wins41
Draws11
Losses06

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins2-00-23-00-2
Biggest losses——1-25-1
Goals For2332
Goals Against1225

Model comparison

MetricMotrilUD San Pedro
Form52%48%
Att44%56%
Def75%25%
Poisson Distribution90%10%
H2h100%0%
Goals100%0%
Total65.3%34.8%

Advice: Double chance : Motril or draw

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home1.32 @ Unibet
Draw4.75 @ Betano
Away10.80 @ 1xBet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.80 @ Bet365
Under 2.52.00 @ Bet365

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes2.27 @ Marathonbet
No1.63 @ Unibet
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Motril = 1.87 (league 1.34), UD San Pedro = 0.16 (league 1.02)

UD San Pedro
0 1 2 3 4 5
Motril 0 13.1% 2.1% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
1 24.6% 3.9% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
2 23.0% 3.6% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
3 14.4% 2.3% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
4 6.7% 1.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 2.5% 0.4% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 78.9% · Draw 17.3% · Away win 2.6%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1