Sun, Dec 7 2025 ā¢ 17:00 ā¢
Estadio Escribano Castilla
Expected Goals
1.52 (league 1.34)
0.21 (league 1.02)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 70.9% | 23.9% | 4.7% |
best score tips
1 - 0
27.1%
2 - 0
20.5%
0 - 0
17.9%
Score & goals probability table
| El Palo | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Motril | 0 | 17.9% | 3.7% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 27.1% | 5.6% | 0.6% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 2 | 20.5% | 4.2% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 10.4% | 2.1% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 3.9% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 1.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
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Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Motril | El Palo |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 53% | 20% |
| Attack | 100% | 86% |
| Defense | 29% | 0% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 7 | 1.4 | 6 | 1.2 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 5 | 1 | 11 | 2.2 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.30
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.00
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.40
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
1.90
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
61%
FT probability
2.5+
43%
FT probability
3.5+
31%
FT probability
BTTS
59%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
- no cards data
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Motril | El Palo | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 6 | 6 | 12 | 6 | 6 | 12 |
| Wins | 67% | 50% | 58% | 33% | 0% | 17% |
| Draws | 33% | 33% | 33% | 17% | 33% | 25% |
| Loses | 0% | 17% | 8% | 50% | 67% | 58% |
Form: Motril: WDWWWWDWWDDL ā¢ El Palo: LDDDWLLLLLWL
League goals
| Metric | Motril | El Palo | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 10 | 7 | 17 | 9 | 2 | 11 |
| GF avg | 1.7 | 1.2 | 1.4 | 1.5 | 0.3 | 0.9 |
| GA total | 4 | 4 | 8 | 13 | 7 | 20 |
| GA avg | 0.7 | 0.7 | 0.7 | 2.2 | 1.2 | 1.7 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Motril | El Palo | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 83% | 42% | 58% | 83% |
| 1.5 | 42% | 17% | 33% | 50% |
| 2.5 | 17% | 8% | 0% | 25% |
| 3.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 8% |
| 4.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Motril | El Palo | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 4 | 3 | 7 | 0 | 2 | 2 |
| Failed to score | 0 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 5 |
Penalties
| Metric | Motril | El Palo |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 1 | 100.00% | 3 | 100.00% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 1 | 3 |
Streaks
| Metric | Motril | El Palo |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 4 | 1 |
| Draws | 2 | 3 |
| Losses | 0 | 5 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 2-0 | 0-2 | 2-1 | ā |
| Biggest losses | ā | 1-0 | 2-4 | 3-1 |
| Goals For | 3 | 3 | 2 | 1 |
| Goals Against | 3 | 2 | 4 | 3 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Motril | El Palo |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 73% | 27% |
| Att | 54% | 46% |
| Def | 69% | 31% |
| Poisson Distribution | 84% | 16% |
| H2h | 29% | 71% |
| Goals | 36% | 64% |
| Total | 57.5% | 42.5% |
Advice: Double chance : Motril or draw
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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
No odds available for this fixture.
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League standings
Loading standingsā¦
Expected goals (Ī»): Motril = 1.52 (league 1.34), El Palo = 0.21 (league 1.02)
| El Palo | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Motril | 0 | 17.9% | 3.7% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 27.1% | 5.6% | 0.6% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 2 | 20.5% | 4.2% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 10.4% | 2.1% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 3.9% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 1.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Outcome probabilities: Home win 70.9% Ā· Draw 23.9% Ā· Away win 4.7%
Vtot 1 , Vtod1