Sun, Dec 21 2025 • 16:00 •
Estadio Municipal
Expected Goals
1.04 (league 1.35)
0.63 (league 1.00)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 44.7% | 33.3% | 21.9% |
best score tips
1 - 0
19.6%
0 - 0
18.8%
1 - 1
12.3%
Score & goals probability table
| Huétor Vega | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Marbelli | 0 | 18.8% | 11.9% | 3.7% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 19.6% | 12.3% | 3.9% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 2 | 10.2% | 6.4% | 2.0% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 3.5% | 2.2% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 0.9% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
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Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Marbelli | Huétor Vega |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 33% | 67% |
| Attack | 50% | 75% |
| Defense | 38% | 63% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 4 | 0.8 | 6 | 1.2 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 5 | 1 | 3 | 0.6 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.00
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
1.70
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.00
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.30
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
57%
FT probability
2.5+
40%
FT probability
3.5+
29%
FT probability
BTTS
68%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
0 - 0 cards
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Marbelli | Huétor Vega | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 7 | 7 | 14 | 7 | 7 | 14 |
| Wins | 43% | 29% | 36% | 57% | 29% | 43% |
| Draws | 29% | 29% | 29% | 29% | 14% | 21% |
| Loses | 29% | 43% | 36% | 14% | 57% | 36% |
Form: Marbelli: WWDLLDLWWDLDWL • Huétor Vega: WLDWDLLWLWWDLW
League goals
| Metric | Marbelli | Huétor Vega | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 7 | 6 | 13 | 11 | 5 | 16 |
| GF avg | 1.0 | 0.9 | 0.9 | 1.6 | 0.7 | 1.1 |
| GA total | 6 | 7 | 13 | 5 | 10 | 15 |
| GA avg | 0.9 | 1.0 | 0.9 | 0.7 | 1.4 | 1.1 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Marbelli | Huétor Vega | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 79% | 71% | 86% | 64% |
| 1.5 | 14% | 21% | 21% | 29% |
| 2.5 | 0% | 0% | 7% | 14% |
| 3.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| 4.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Marbelli | Huétor Vega | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 3 | 1 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 5 |
| Failed to score | 0 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 2 |
Penalties
| Metric | Marbelli | Huétor Vega |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 1 | 100.00% | 0 | 0% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 1 | 0 |
Streaks
| Metric | Marbelli | Huétor Vega |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 2 | 2 |
| Draws | 1 | 1 |
| Losses | 2 | 2 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 1-0 | 1-2 | 3-1 | 0-1 |
| Biggest losses | 1-2 | 1-0 | 1-2 | 3-0 |
| Goals For | 1 | 2 | 3 | 1 |
| Goals Against | 2 | 2 | 2 | 3 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Marbelli | Huétor Vega |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 33% | 67% |
| Att | 40% | 60% |
| Def | 38% | 63% |
| Poisson Distribution | 57% | 43% |
| H2h | 50% | 50% |
| Goals | 25% | 75% |
| Total | 40.5% | 59.7% |
Advice: Combo Double chance : draw or Huétor Vega and -3.5 goals
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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
No odds available for this fixture.
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League standings
Loading standings…
Expected goals (λ): Marbelli = 1.04 (league 1.35), Huétor Vega = 0.63 (league 1.00)
| Huétor Vega | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Marbelli | 0 | 18.8% | 11.9% | 3.7% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 19.6% | 12.3% | 3.9% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 2 | 10.2% | 6.4% | 2.0% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 3.5% | 2.2% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 0.9% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Outcome probabilities: Home win 44.7% · Draw 33.3% · Away win 21.9%
vtt 1 , vtd1