Sun, Dec 21 2025 • 17:00 •
Estadio Municipal San Benito
Expected Goals
2.38 (league 1.35)
0.34 (league 0.98)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 79.7% | 13.0% | 3.8% |
best score tips
2 - 0
18.7%
1 - 0
15.7%
3 - 0
14.8%
Score & goals probability table
| El Palo | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Atlético Porcuna | 0 | 6.6% | 2.2% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 15.7% | 5.3% | 0.9% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 2 | 18.7% | 6.3% | 1.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 14.8% | 5.0% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 8.9% | 3.0% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 4.2% | 1.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
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Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Atlético Porcuna | El Palo |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 7% | 20% |
| Attack | 50% | 38% |
| Defense | 0% | 0% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 4 | 0.8 | 3 | 0.6 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 9 | 1.8 | 10 | 2 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
1.90
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.20
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
3.30
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.80
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
73%
FT probability
2.5+
51%
FT probability
3.5+
36%
FT probability
BTTS
60%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
- no cards data
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Atlético Porcuna | El Palo | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 7 | 7 | 14 | 7 | 7 | 14 |
| Wins | 57% | 0% | 29% | 29% | 0% | 14% |
| Draws | 0% | 14% | 7% | 14% | 29% | 21% |
| Loses | 43% | 86% | 64% | 57% | 71% | 64% |
Form: Atlético Porcuna: WLLLWLWLWLLDLL • El Palo: LDDDWLLLLLWLLL
League goals
| Metric | Atlético Porcuna | El Palo | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 13 | 2 | 15 | 9 | 2 | 11 |
| GF avg | 1.9 | 0.3 | 1.1 | 1.3 | 0.3 | 0.8 |
| GA total | 8 | 11 | 19 | 14 | 12 | 26 |
| GA avg | 1.1 | 1.6 | 1.4 | 2.0 | 1.7 | 1.9 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Atlético Porcuna | El Palo | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 50% | 71% | 50% | 86% |
| 1.5 | 29% | 36% | 29% | 50% |
| 2.5 | 21% | 14% | 0% | 29% |
| 3.5 | 7% | 14% | 0% | 14% |
| 4.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 7% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Atlético Porcuna | El Palo | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 3 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 2 |
| Failed to score | 1 | 6 | 7 | 2 | 5 | 7 |
Penalties
| Metric | Atlético Porcuna | El Palo |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 3 | 100.00% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 0 | 3 |
Streaks
| Metric | Atlético Porcuna | El Palo |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 1 | 1 |
| Draws | 1 | 3 |
| Losses | 3 | 5 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 4-1 | — | 2-1 | — |
| Biggest losses | 3-4 | 4-2 | 2-4 | 5-0 |
| Goals For | 4 | 2 | 2 | 1 |
| Goals Against | 4 | 4 | 4 | 5 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Atlético Porcuna | El Palo |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 25% | 75% |
| Att | 57% | 43% |
| Def | 53% | 47% |
| Poisson Distribution | 85% | 15% |
| H2h | 7% | 93% |
| Goals | 38% | 63% |
| Total | 44.2% | 56.0% |
Advice: Double chance : draw or El Palo
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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
No odds available for this fixture.
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League standings
Loading standings…
Expected goals (λ): Atlético Porcuna = 2.38 (league 1.35), El Palo = 0.34 (league 0.98)
| El Palo | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Atlético Porcuna | 0 | 6.6% | 2.2% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 15.7% | 5.3% | 0.9% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 2 | 18.7% | 6.3% | 1.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 14.8% | 5.0% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 8.9% | 3.0% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 4.2% | 1.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Outcome probabilities: Home win 79.7% · Draw 13.0% · Away win 3.8%
Vtot 1 , Vtod1