Wed, Jan 14 2026 • 18:30 •
Estadio San Ignacio
Expected Goals
1.62 (league 1.36)
0.61 (league 0.99)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 61.5% | 24.3% | 13.6% |
best score tips
1 - 0
17.5%
2 - 0
14.2%
0 - 0
10.8%
Score & goals probability table
| Torreperogil | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| El Palo | 0 | 10.8% | 6.5% | 2.0% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 17.5% | 10.6% | 3.2% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 2 | 14.2% | 8.6% | 2.6% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 7.7% | 4.6% | 1.4% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 3.1% | 1.9% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 1.0% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
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Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | El Palo | Torreperogil |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 7% | 40% |
| Attack | 18% | 36% |
| Defense | 0% | 45% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 2 | 0.4 | 4 | 0.8 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 12 | 2.4 | 6 | 1.2 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
1.30
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
1.60
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
3.10
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
3.70
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
69%
FT probability
2.5+
49%
FT probability
3.5+
35%
FT probability
BTTS
66%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
- no cards data
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | El Palo | Torreperogil | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 7 | 9 | 16 | 9 | 7 | 16 |
| Wins | 29% | 0% | 13% | 22% | 0% | 13% |
| Draws | 14% | 33% | 25% | 33% | 14% | 25% |
| Loses | 57% | 67% | 63% | 44% | 86% | 63% |
Form: El Palo: LDDDWLLLLLWLLLLD • Torreperogil: LDLLDDLLDLLLLLWW
League goals
| Metric | El Palo | Torreperogil | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 9 | 3 | 12 | 6 | 2 | 8 |
| GF avg | 1.3 | 0.3 | 0.8 | 0.7 | 0.3 | 0.5 |
| GA total | 14 | 16 | 30 | 7 | 12 | 19 |
| GA avg | 2.0 | 1.8 | 1.9 | 0.8 | 1.7 | 1.2 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | El Palo | Torreperogil | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 50% | 88% | 38% | 88% |
| 1.5 | 25% | 50% | 13% | 19% |
| 2.5 | 0% | 31% | 0% | 13% |
| 3.5 | 0% | 13% | 0% | 0% |
| 4.5 | 0% | 6% | 0% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | El Palo | Torreperogil | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 0 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 2 |
| Failed to score | 2 | 6 | 8 | 5 | 5 | 10 |
Penalties
| Metric | El Palo | Torreperogil |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 3 | 100.00% | 0 | 0% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 3 | 0 |
Streaks
| Metric | El Palo | Torreperogil |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 1 | 0 |
| Draws | 3 | 2 |
| Losses | 5 | 5 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 2-1 | — | 2-0 | — |
| Biggest losses | 2-4 | 5-0 | 0-1 | 3-0 |
| Goals For | 2 | 1 | 2 | 1 |
| Goals Against | 4 | 5 | 1 | 3 |
Model comparison
| Metric | El Palo | Torreperogil |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 14% | 86% |
| Att | 33% | 67% |
| Def | 33% | 67% |
| Poisson Distribution | 69% | 31% |
| H2h | 36% | 64% |
| Goals | 40% | 60% |
| Total | 37.5% | 62.5% |
Advice: Double chance : draw or Torreperogil
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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
No odds available for this fixture.
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League standings
Loading standings…
Expected goals (λ): El Palo = 1.62 (league 1.36), Torreperogil = 0.61 (league 0.99)
| Torreperogil | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| El Palo | 0 | 10.8% | 6.5% | 2.0% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 17.5% | 10.6% | 3.2% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 2 | 14.2% | 8.6% | 2.6% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 7.7% | 4.6% | 1.4% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 3.1% | 1.9% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 1.0% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Outcome probabilities: Home win 61.5% · Draw 24.3% · Away win 13.6%
vtt 1 , vtd1