Sun, Jan 4 2026 • 14:30 •
Estadio Escribano Castilla
Expected Goals
1.99 (league 1.37)
0.24 (league 0.98)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 78.1% | 16.6% | 3.7% |
best score tips
1 - 0
21.3%
2 - 0
21.2%
3 - 0
14.1%
Score & goals probability table
| UD Melilla II | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Motril | 0 | 10.7% | 2.6% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 21.3% | 5.2% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 2 | 21.2% | 5.2% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 14.1% | 3.4% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 7.0% | 1.7% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 2.8% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
🔮
Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Motril | UD Melilla II |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 40% | 20% |
| Attack | 100% | 10% |
| Defense | 40% | 50% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 10 | 2 | 1 | 0.2 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 6 | 1.2 | 5 | 1 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.20
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.50
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
1.50
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
1.90
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
58%
FT probability
2.5+
41%
FT probability
3.5+
29%
FT probability
BTTS
57%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
0 - 0 cards
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Motril | UD Melilla II | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 7 | 7 | 14 | 7 | 8 | 15 |
| Wins | 71% | 43% | 57% | 43% | 13% | 27% |
| Draws | 29% | 43% | 36% | 29% | 25% | 27% |
| Loses | 0% | 14% | 7% | 29% | 63% | 47% |
Form: Motril: WDWWWWDWWDDLWD • UD Melilla II: LDDDWWLWDLLWLLL
League goals
| Metric | Motril | UD Melilla II | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 15 | 8 | 23 | 6 | 3 | 9 |
| GF avg | 2.1 | 1.1 | 1.6 | 0.9 | 0.4 | 0.6 |
| GA total | 4 | 5 | 9 | 4 | 10 | 14 |
| GA avg | 0.6 | 0.7 | 0.6 | 0.6 | 1.3 | 0.9 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Motril | UD Melilla II | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 86% | 43% | 40% | 67% |
| 1.5 | 43% | 14% | 7% | 27% |
| 2.5 | 21% | 7% | 7% | 0% |
| 3.5 | 7% | 0% | 7% | 0% |
| 4.5 | 7% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Motril | UD Melilla II | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 5 | 3 | 8 | 4 | 1 | 5 |
| Failed to score | 0 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 5 | 9 |
Penalties
| Metric | Motril | UD Melilla II |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 1 | 100.00% | 0 | 0% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 1 | 0 |
Streaks
| Metric | Motril | UD Melilla II |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 4 | 2 |
| Draws | 2 | 3 |
| Losses | 1 | 2 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 5-0 | 0-2 | 4-2 | 0-1 |
| Biggest losses | — | 1-0 | 0-1 | 2-0 |
| Goals For | 5 | 3 | 4 | 1 |
| Goals Against | 3 | 2 | 2 | 2 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Motril | UD Melilla II |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 67% | 33% |
| Att | 91% | 9% |
| Def | 45% | 55% |
| Poisson Distribution | 87% | 13% |
| H2h | 0% | 0% |
| Goals | 0% | 0% |
| Total | 72.5% | 27.5% |
Advice: Double chance : Motril or draw
💸
Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
No odds available for this fixture.
📊
League standings
Loading standings…
Expected goals (λ): Motril = 1.99 (league 1.37), UD Melilla II = 0.24 (league 0.98)
| UD Melilla II | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Motril | 0 | 10.7% | 2.6% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 21.3% | 5.2% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 2 | 21.2% | 5.2% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 14.1% | 3.4% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 7.0% | 1.7% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 2.8% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Outcome probabilities: Home win 78.1% · Draw 16.6% · Away win 3.7%
vtt 2 , vtd1