Sun, Jan 11 2026 • 11:30 • Venue TBA
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.95 (league 1.36) 0.15 (league 0.99)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
80.1% 16.1% 2.3%
best score tips
1 - 0
23.8%
2 - 0
23.2%
3 - 0
15.1%
Score & goals probability table
El Palo
0 1 2 3 4 5
Churriana Vega 0 12.2% 1.8% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
1 23.8% 3.6% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
2 23.2% 3.5% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
3 15.1% 2.3% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
4 7.4% 1.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 2.9% 0.4% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricChurriana VegaEl Palo
Played55
Form60%20%
Attack40%20%
Defense80%20%
Goals For (tot | avg)6 | 1.23 | 0.6
Goals Against (tot | avg)3 | 0.612 | 2.4

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

1.80
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.70
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.80
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.40
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

62%
FT probability

2.5+

44%
FT probability

3.5+

31%
FT probability

BTTS

57%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

- no cards data
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Churriana Vega El Palo
HATHAT
Played87157815
Wins75%29%53%29%0%13%
Draws13%43%27%14%25%20%
Loses13%29%20%57%75%67%

Form: Churriana Vega: DWWLWLWLWWWDWDD • El Palo: LDDDWLLLLLWLLLL

League goals

Metric Churriana Vega El Palo
HATHAT
GF total116179211
GF avg1.40.91.11.30.30.7
GA total4913141529
GA avg0.51.30.92.01.91.9

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineChurriana VegaEl Palo
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.587%47%47%87%
1.527%20%27%53%
2.50%13%0%33%
3.50%7%0%13%
4.50%0%0%7%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricChurriana VegaEl Palo
HATHAT
Clean sheets628022
Failed to score112268

Penalties

MetricChurriana VegaEl Palo
Scored (total | %)1 | 100.00%3 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total13

Streaks

MetricChurriana VegaEl Palo
Wins31
Draws13
Losses15

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins2-00-12-1—
Biggest losses2-34-02-45-0
Goals For2121
Goals Against3445

Model comparison

MetricChurriana VegaEl Palo
Form75%25%
Att67%33%
Def80%20%
Poisson Distribution92%8%
H2h0%0%
Goals0%0%
Total78.5%21.5%

Advice: Double chance : Churriana Vega or draw

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home1.62 @ Betano
Draw4.00 @ Bet365
Away5.94 @ 1xBet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes2.10 @ William Hill
No1.67 @ Betano

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.10 @ Pinnacle
Under 2.51.85 @ Bet365
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Churriana Vega = 1.95 (league 1.36), El Palo = 0.15 (league 0.99)

El Palo
0 1 2 3 4 5
Churriana Vega 0 12.2% 1.8% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
1 23.8% 3.6% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
2 23.2% 3.5% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
3 15.1% 2.3% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
4 7.4% 1.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 2.9% 0.4% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 80.1% · Draw 16.1% · Away win 2.3%

vtt 1 , vtd1