Sun, Jan 11 2026 • 17:00 •
Estadio Municipal San Benito
Expected Goals
1.02 (league 1.37)
1.12 (league 0.98)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 32.7% | 29.6% | 37.5% |
best score tips
1 - 1
13.4%
0 - 1
13.2%
1 - 0
12.0%
Score & goals probability table
| Motril | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Atlético Porcuna | 0 | 11.8% | 13.2% | 7.4% | 2.7% | 0.8% | 0.2% |
| 1 | 12.0% | 13.4% | 7.5% | 2.8% | 0.8% | 0.2% | |
| 2 | 6.1% | 6.9% | 3.8% | 1.4% | 0.4% | 0.1% | |
| 3 | 2.1% | 2.3% | 1.3% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 0.5% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
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Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Atlético Porcuna | Motril |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 27% | 53% |
| Attack | 47% | 73% |
| Defense | 53% | 60% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 7 | 1.4 | 11 | 2.2 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 7 | 1.4 | 6 | 1.2 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.90
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
3.10
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.00
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
1.70
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
69%
FT probability
2.5+
49%
FT probability
3.5+
35%
FT probability
BTTS
62%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
- no cards data
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Atlético Porcuna | Motril | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 8 | 8 | 16 | 8 | 7 | 15 |
| Wins | 63% | 0% | 31% | 75% | 43% | 60% |
| Draws | 0% | 13% | 6% | 25% | 43% | 33% |
| Loses | 38% | 88% | 63% | 0% | 14% | 7% |
Form: Atlético Porcuna: WLLLWLWLWLLDLLWL • Motril: WDWWWWDWWDDLWDW
League goals
| Metric | Atlético Porcuna | Motril | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 16 | 3 | 19 | 17 | 8 | 25 |
| GF avg | 2.0 | 0.4 | 1.2 | 2.1 | 1.1 | 1.7 |
| GA total | 8 | 13 | 21 | 5 | 5 | 10 |
| GA avg | 1.0 | 1.6 | 1.3 | 0.6 | 0.7 | 0.7 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Atlético Porcuna | Motril | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 56% | 69% | 87% | 47% |
| 1.5 | 31% | 38% | 47% | 13% |
| 2.5 | 25% | 13% | 20% | 7% |
| 3.5 | 6% | 13% | 7% | 0% |
| 4.5 | 0% | 0% | 7% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Atlético Porcuna | Motril | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 4 | 1 | 5 | 5 | 3 | 8 |
| Failed to score | 1 | 6 | 7 | 0 | 2 | 2 |
Penalties
| Metric | Atlético Porcuna | Motril |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 1 | 100.00% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 0 | 1 |
Streaks
| Metric | Atlético Porcuna | Motril |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 1 | 4 |
| Draws | 1 | 2 |
| Losses | 3 | 1 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 4-1 | — | 5-0 | 0-2 |
| Biggest losses | 3-4 | 4-2 | — | 1-0 |
| Goals For | 4 | 2 | 5 | 3 |
| Goals Against | 4 | 4 | 3 | 2 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Atlético Porcuna | Motril |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 33% | 67% |
| Att | 39% | 61% |
| Def | 46% | 54% |
| Poisson Distribution | 41% | 59% |
| H2h | 20% | 80% |
| Goals | 33% | 67% |
| Total | 35.3% | 64.7% |
Advice: Double chance : draw or Motril
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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
No odds available for this fixture.
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League standings
Loading standings…
Expected goals (λ): Atlético Porcuna = 1.02 (league 1.37), Motril = 1.12 (league 0.98)
| Motril | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Atlético Porcuna | 0 | 11.8% | 13.2% | 7.4% | 2.7% | 0.8% | 0.2% |
| 1 | 12.0% | 13.4% | 7.5% | 2.8% | 0.8% | 0.2% | |
| 2 | 6.1% | 6.9% | 3.8% | 1.4% | 0.4% | 0.1% | |
| 3 | 2.1% | 2.3% | 1.3% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 0.5% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Outcome probabilities: Home win 32.7% · Draw 29.6% · Away win 37.5%
vtt 1 , vtd1