Sun, Jan 11 2026 • 16:30 •
Estadio Polideportivo La Juventud
Expected Goals
1.17 (league 1.36)
0.61 (league 0.99)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 49.6% | 31.2% | 19.1% |
best score tips
1 - 0
19.8%
0 - 0
16.8%
1 - 1
12.0%
Score & goals probability table
| Alhaurino | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Mancha Real | 0 | 16.8% | 10.2% | 3.1% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 19.8% | 12.0% | 3.6% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 2 | 11.6% | 7.1% | 2.1% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 4.5% | 2.8% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 1.3% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
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Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Mancha Real | Alhaurino |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 27% | 53% |
| Attack | 27% | 47% |
| Defense | 60% | 60% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 4 | 0.8 | 7 | 1.4 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 6 | 1.2 | 6 | 1.2 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
1.90
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.00
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.40
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.20
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
61%
FT probability
2.5+
43%
FT probability
3.5+
30%
FT probability
BTTS
61%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
- no cards data
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Mancha Real | Alhaurino | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 8 | 8 | 16 | 7 | 8 | 15 |
| Wins | 38% | 13% | 25% | 57% | 13% | 33% |
| Draws | 38% | 25% | 31% | 14% | 38% | 27% |
| Loses | 25% | 63% | 44% | 29% | 50% | 40% |
Form: Mancha Real: WDLWDWDLLLDLDLWL • Alhaurino: LLWDWDWLLLLDWWD
League goals
| Metric | Mancha Real | Alhaurino | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 8 | 4 | 12 | 9 | 8 | 17 |
| GF avg | 1.0 | 0.5 | 0.8 | 1.3 | 1.0 | 1.1 |
| GA total | 5 | 11 | 16 | 8 | 13 | 21 |
| GA avg | 0.6 | 1.4 | 1.0 | 1.1 | 1.6 | 1.4 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Mancha Real | Alhaurino | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 50% | 75% | 67% | 80% |
| 1.5 | 25% | 19% | 33% | 40% |
| 2.5 | 0% | 6% | 7% | 13% |
| 3.5 | 0% | 0% | 7% | 7% |
| 4.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Mancha Real | Alhaurino | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 3 | 1 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 3 |
| Failed to score | 3 | 5 | 8 | 1 | 4 | 5 |
Penalties
| Metric | Mancha Real | Alhaurino |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 1 | 100.00% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 0 | 1 |
Streaks
| Metric | Mancha Real | Alhaurino |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 1 | 2 |
| Draws | 1 | 1 |
| Losses | 3 | 4 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 2-0 | 1-2 | 2-1 | 3-4 |
| Biggest losses | 0-1 | 3-1 | 0-2 | 4-2 |
| Goals For | 2 | 2 | 2 | 4 |
| Goals Against | 1 | 3 | 2 | 4 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Mancha Real | Alhaurino |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 33% | 67% |
| Att | 36% | 64% |
| Def | 50% | 50% |
| Poisson Distribution | 60% | 40% |
| H2h | 0% | 0% |
| Goals | 0% | 0% |
| Total | 44.8% | 55.3% |
Advice: Double chance : draw or Alhaurino
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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
No odds available for this fixture.
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League standings
Loading standings…
Expected goals (λ): Mancha Real = 1.17 (league 1.36), Alhaurino = 0.61 (league 0.99)
| Alhaurino | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Mancha Real | 0 | 16.8% | 10.2% | 3.1% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 19.8% | 12.0% | 3.6% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 2 | 11.6% | 7.1% | 2.1% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 4.5% | 2.8% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 1.3% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Outcome probabilities: Home win 49.6% · Draw 31.2% · Away win 19.1%
vtt 1 , vtd1