Sun, Jan 18 2026 ā¢ 16:30 ā¢
Estadio Nuevo Municipal
Expected Goals
1.45 (league 1.36)
0.24 (league 0.99)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 68.3% | 25.4% | 5.9% |
best score tips
1 - 0
26.7%
2 - 0
19.4%
0 - 0
18.3%
Score & goals probability table
| El Palo | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Arenas Armilla | 0 | 18.3% | 4.4% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 26.7% | 6.5% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 2 | 19.4% | 4.7% | 0.6% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 9.4% | 2.3% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 3.4% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 1.0% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
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Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Arenas Armilla | El Palo |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 53% | 13% |
| Attack | 100% | 40% |
| Defense | 20% | 0% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 5 | 1 | 2 | 0.4 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 4 | 0.8 | 11 | 2.2 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
1.70
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
1.40
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.40
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.60
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
58%
FT probability
2.5+
41%
FT probability
3.5+
29%
FT probability
BTTS
56%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
0 - 0 cards
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Arenas Armilla | El Palo | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 9 | 8 | 17 | 8 | 9 | 17 |
| Wins | 56% | 38% | 47% | 25% | 0% | 12% |
| Draws | 22% | 38% | 29% | 25% | 33% | 29% |
| Loses | 22% | 25% | 24% | 50% | 67% | 59% |
Form: Arenas Armilla: WWWWLLDLDWWDWDLWD ā¢ El Palo: LDDDWLLLLLWLLLLDD
League goals
| Metric | Arenas Armilla | El Palo | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 10 | 6 | 16 | 10 | 3 | 13 |
| GF avg | 1.1 | 0.8 | 0.9 | 1.3 | 0.3 | 0.8 |
| GA total | 7 | 3 | 10 | 15 | 16 | 31 |
| GA avg | 0.8 | 0.4 | 0.6 | 1.9 | 1.8 | 1.8 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Arenas Armilla | El Palo | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 59% | 47% | 53% | 88% |
| 1.5 | 35% | 12% | 24% | 47% |
| 2.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 29% |
| 3.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 12% |
| 4.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 6% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Arenas Armilla | El Palo | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 4 | 5 | 9 | 0 | 2 | 2 |
| Failed to score | 3 | 4 | 7 | 2 | 6 | 8 |
Penalties
| Metric | Arenas Armilla | El Palo |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 3 | 100.00% | 3 | 100.00% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 3 | 3 |
Streaks
| Metric | Arenas Armilla | El Palo |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 4 | 1 |
| Draws | 1 | 3 |
| Losses | 2 | 5 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 2-0 | 0-2 | 2-1 | ā |
| Biggest losses | 0-2 | 1-0 | 2-4 | 5-0 |
| Goals For | 2 | 2 | 2 | 1 |
| Goals Against | 2 | 1 | 4 | 5 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Arenas Armilla | El Palo |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 80% | 20% |
| Att | 71% | 29% |
| Def | 73% | 27% |
| Poisson Distribution | 81% | 19% |
| H2h | 50% | 50% |
| Goals | 55% | 45% |
| Total | 68.3% | 31.7% |
Advice: Double chance : Arenas Armilla or draw
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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
No odds available for this fixture.
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League standings
Loading standingsā¦
Expected goals (Ī»): Arenas Armilla = 1.45 (league 1.36), El Palo = 0.24 (league 0.99)
| El Palo | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Arenas Armilla | 0 | 18.3% | 4.4% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 26.7% | 6.5% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 2 | 19.4% | 4.7% | 0.6% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 9.4% | 2.3% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 3.4% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 1.0% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Outcome probabilities: Home win 68.3% Ā· Draw 25.4% Ā· Away win 5.9%
vtt 1 , vtd1