Sun, Jan 18 2026 • 16:30 •
Polideportivo Municipal Abdon Martínez Fariñas
Expected Goals
0.83 (league 1.36)
0.32 (league 0.99)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 45.5% | 40.7% | 13.8% |
best score tips
0 - 0
31.7%
1 - 0
26.1%
2 - 0
10.8%
Score & goals probability table
| Atlético Porcuna | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Torreperogil | 0 | 31.7% | 10.3% | 1.7% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 26.1% | 8.5% | 1.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 2 | 10.8% | 3.5% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 3.0% | 1.0% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
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Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Torreperogil | Atlético Porcuna |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 47% | 40% |
| Attack | 56% | 89% |
| Defense | 56% | 22% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 5 | 1 | 8 | 1.6 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 4 | 0.8 | 7 | 1.4 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
1.70
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
1.10
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.40
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.40
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
54%
FT probability
2.5+
38%
FT probability
3.5+
27%
FT probability
BTTS
56%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
- no cards data
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Torreperogil | Atlético Porcuna | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 9 | 8 | 17 | 9 | 8 | 17 |
| Wins | 22% | 0% | 12% | 67% | 0% | 35% |
| Draws | 33% | 25% | 29% | 0% | 13% | 6% |
| Loses | 44% | 75% | 59% | 33% | 88% | 59% |
Form: Torreperogil: LDLLDDLLDLLLLLWWD • Atlético Porcuna: WLLLWLWLWLLDLLWLW
League goals
| Metric | Torreperogil | Atlético Porcuna | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 6 | 3 | 9 | 17 | 3 | 20 |
| GF avg | 0.7 | 0.4 | 0.5 | 1.9 | 0.4 | 1.2 |
| GA total | 7 | 13 | 20 | 8 | 13 | 21 |
| GA avg | 0.8 | 1.6 | 1.2 | 0.9 | 1.6 | 1.2 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Torreperogil | Atlético Porcuna | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 41% | 88% | 59% | 65% |
| 1.5 | 12% | 18% | 29% | 35% |
| 2.5 | 0% | 12% | 24% | 12% |
| 3.5 | 0% | 0% | 6% | 12% |
| 4.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Torreperogil | Atlético Porcuna | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 2 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 1 | 6 |
| Failed to score | 5 | 5 | 10 | 1 | 6 | 7 |
Penalties
| Metric | Torreperogil | Atlético Porcuna |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 0 | 0 |
Streaks
| Metric | Torreperogil | Atlético Porcuna |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 2 | 1 |
| Draws | 2 | 1 |
| Losses | 5 | 3 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 2-0 | — | 4-1 | — |
| Biggest losses | 0-1 | 3-0 | 3-4 | 4-2 |
| Goals For | 2 | 1 | 4 | 2 |
| Goals Against | 1 | 3 | 4 | 4 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Torreperogil | Atlético Porcuna |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 54% | 46% |
| Att | 38% | 62% |
| Def | 64% | 36% |
| Poisson Distribution | 68% | 32% |
| H2h | 71% | 29% |
| Goals | 53% | 47% |
| Total | 58.0% | 42.0% |
Advice: Combo Double chance : Torreperogil or draw and -3.5 goals
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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
No odds available for this fixture.
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League standings
Loading standings…
Expected goals (λ): Torreperogil = 0.83 (league 1.36), Atlético Porcuna = 0.32 (league 0.99)
| Atlético Porcuna | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Torreperogil | 0 | 31.7% | 10.3% | 1.7% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 26.1% | 8.5% | 1.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 2 | 10.8% | 3.5% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 3.0% | 1.0% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Outcome probabilities: Home win 45.5% · Draw 40.7% · Away win 13.8%
vtt 1 , vtd1