Sun, Jan 18 2026 • 17:00 •
Estadio Municipal Miguel Moranto
Expected Goals
0.88 (league 1.37)
0.91 (league 0.98)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 32.4% | 33.0% | 34.5% |
best score tips
0 - 0
16.7%
0 - 1
15.3%
1 - 0
14.6%
Score & goals probability table
| Motril | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Huétor Tájar | 0 | 16.7% | 15.3% | 7.0% | 2.1% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| 1 | 14.6% | 13.4% | 6.1% | 1.9% | 0.4% | 0.1% | |
| 2 | 6.4% | 5.8% | 2.7% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 1.9% | 1.7% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
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Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Huétor Tájar | Motril |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 40% | 47% |
| Attack | 45% | 73% |
| Defense | 55% | 64% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 5 | 1 | 8 | 1.6 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 5 | 1 | 4 | 0.8 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.80
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.50
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
1.90
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
1.70
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
64%
FT probability
2.5+
45%
FT probability
3.5+
32%
FT probability
BTTS
64%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
- no cards data
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Huétor Tájar | Motril | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 8 | 9 | 17 | 8 | 8 | 16 |
| Wins | 38% | 11% | 24% | 75% | 38% | 56% |
| Draws | 50% | 22% | 35% | 25% | 38% | 31% |
| Loses | 13% | 67% | 41% | 0% | 25% | 13% |
Form: Huétor Tájar: LLDLLWWDLWLDDWLDD • Motril: WDWWWWDWWDDLWDWL
League goals
| Metric | Huétor Tájar | Motril | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 12 | 8 | 20 | 17 | 8 | 25 |
| GF avg | 1.5 | 0.9 | 1.2 | 2.1 | 1.0 | 1.6 |
| GA total | 7 | 13 | 20 | 5 | 6 | 11 |
| GA avg | 0.9 | 1.4 | 1.2 | 0.6 | 0.8 | 0.7 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Huétor Tájar | Motril | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 71% | 82% | 81% | 50% |
| 1.5 | 24% | 29% | 44% | 13% |
| 2.5 | 12% | 6% | 19% | 6% |
| 3.5 | 6% | 0% | 6% | 0% |
| 4.5 | 6% | 0% | 6% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Huétor Tájar | Motril | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 3 | 0 | 3 | 5 | 3 | 8 |
| Failed to score | 2 | 3 | 5 | 0 | 3 | 3 |
Penalties
| Metric | Huétor Tájar | Motril |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 2 | 100.00% | 1 | 100.00% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 2 | 1 |
Streaks
| Metric | Huétor Tájar | Motril |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 2 | 4 |
| Draws | 2 | 2 |
| Losses | 2 | 1 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 5-1 | 1-3 | 5-0 | 0-2 |
| Biggest losses | 0-1 | 3-1 | — | 1-0 |
| Goals For | 5 | 3 | 5 | 3 |
| Goals Against | 2 | 3 | 3 | 2 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Huétor Tájar | Motril |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 46% | 54% |
| Att | 38% | 62% |
| Def | 44% | 56% |
| Poisson Distribution | 42% | 58% |
| H2h | 29% | 71% |
| Goals | 22% | 78% |
| Total | 36.8% | 63.2% |
Advice: Double chance : draw or Motril
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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
No odds available for this fixture.
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League standings
Loading standings…
Expected goals (λ): Huétor Tájar = 0.88 (league 1.37), Motril = 0.91 (league 0.98)
| Motril | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Huétor Tájar | 0 | 16.7% | 15.3% | 7.0% | 2.1% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| 1 | 14.6% | 13.4% | 6.1% | 1.9% | 0.4% | 0.1% | |
| 2 | 6.4% | 5.8% | 2.7% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 1.9% | 1.7% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Outcome probabilities: Home win 32.4% · Draw 33.0% · Away win 34.5%
vtt 1 , vtd1