Sun, Jan 25 2026 • 17:15 •
Estadio Municipal San Benito
Expected Goals
1.95 (league 1.36)
0.73 (league 0.99)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 64.8% | 20.6% | 13.1% |
best score tips
1 - 0
13.4%
2 - 0
13.1%
1 - 1
9.7%
Score & goals probability table
| Churriana Vega | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Atlético Porcuna | 0 | 6.8% | 5.0% | 1.8% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 13.4% | 9.7% | 3.5% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.0% | |
| 2 | 13.1% | 9.5% | 3.5% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 8.5% | 6.2% | 2.3% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 4.2% | 3.0% | 1.1% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 1.6% | 1.2% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
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Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Atlético Porcuna | Churriana Vega |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 60% | 20% |
| Attack | 100% | 25% |
| Defense | 63% | 38% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 8 | 1.6 | 2 | 0.4 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 3 | 0.6 | 5 | 1 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.30
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.70
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.10
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.30
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
67%
FT probability
2.5+
47%
FT probability
3.5+
34%
FT probability
BTTS
63%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
- no cards data
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Atlético Porcuna | Churriana Vega | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 9 | 9 | 18 | 10 | 8 | 18 |
| Wins | 67% | 11% | 39% | 60% | 25% | 44% |
| Draws | 0% | 11% | 6% | 20% | 38% | 28% |
| Loses | 33% | 78% | 56% | 20% | 38% | 28% |
Form: Atlético Porcuna: WLLLWLWLWLLDLLWLWW • Churriana Vega: DWWLWLWLWWWDWDDDLL
League goals
| Metric | Atlético Porcuna | Churriana Vega | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 17 | 6 | 23 | 12 | 6 | 18 |
| GF avg | 1.9 | 0.7 | 1.3 | 1.2 | 0.8 | 1.0 |
| GA total | 8 | 13 | 21 | 6 | 11 | 17 |
| GA avg | 0.9 | 1.4 | 1.2 | 0.6 | 1.4 | 0.9 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Atlético Porcuna | Churriana Vega | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 61% | 61% | 78% | 56% |
| 1.5 | 33% | 33% | 22% | 22% |
| 2.5 | 28% | 11% | 0% | 11% |
| 3.5 | 6% | 11% | 0% | 6% |
| 4.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Atlético Porcuna | Churriana Vega | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 5 | 2 | 7 | 6 | 2 | 8 |
| Failed to score | 1 | 6 | 7 | 2 | 2 | 4 |
Penalties
| Metric | Atlético Porcuna | Churriana Vega |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 1 | 100.00% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 0 | 1 |
Streaks
| Metric | Atlético Porcuna | Churriana Vega |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 1 | 3 |
| Draws | 1 | 3 |
| Losses | 3 | 1 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 4-1 | 0-3 | 2-0 | 0-1 |
| Biggest losses | 3-4 | 4-2 | 2-3 | 4-0 |
| Goals For | 4 | 3 | 2 | 1 |
| Goals Against | 4 | 4 | 3 | 4 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Atlético Porcuna | Churriana Vega |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 75% | 25% |
| Att | 80% | 20% |
| Def | 63% | 38% |
| Poisson Distribution | 70% | 30% |
| H2h | 0% | 100% |
| Goals | 0% | 100% |
| Total | 72.0% | 28.3% |
Advice: Double chance : Atlético Porcuna or draw
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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
No odds available for this fixture.
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League standings
Loading standings…
Expected goals (λ): Atlético Porcuna = 1.95 (league 1.36), Churriana Vega = 0.73 (league 0.99)
| Churriana Vega | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Atlético Porcuna | 0 | 6.8% | 5.0% | 1.8% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 13.4% | 9.7% | 3.5% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.0% | |
| 2 | 13.1% | 9.5% | 3.5% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 8.5% | 6.2% | 2.3% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 4.2% | 3.0% | 1.1% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 1.6% | 1.2% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Outcome probabilities: Home win 64.8% · Draw 20.6% · Away win 13.1%
vtt 1 , vtd1