Sun, Jan 25 2026 ā¢ 11:00 ā¢
Estadio San Ignacio
Expected Goals
1.34 (league 1.36)
0.96 (league 0.99)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 45.1% | 27.7% | 26.9% |
best score tips
1 - 0
13.4%
1 - 1
12.9%
0 - 0
10.1%
Score & goals probability table
| Mancha Real | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| El Palo | 0 | 10.1% | 9.7% | 4.6% | 1.5% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| 1 | 13.4% | 12.9% | 6.2% | 2.0% | 0.5% | 0.1% | |
| 2 | 9.0% | 8.6% | 4.1% | 1.3% | 0.3% | 0.1% | |
| 3 | 4.0% | 3.8% | 1.8% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 1.3% | 1.3% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
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Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | El Palo | Mancha Real |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 13% | 27% |
| Attack | 25% | 75% |
| Defense | 0% | 0% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 2 | 0.4 | 6 | 1.2 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 9 | 1.8 | 9 | 1.8 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
1.50
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
1.80
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
3.10
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
3.30
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
69%
FT probability
2.5+
49%
FT probability
3.5+
35%
FT probability
BTTS
67%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
- no cards data
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | El Palo | Mancha Real | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 8 | 10 | 18 | 10 | 8 | 18 |
| Wins | 25% | 0% | 11% | 30% | 13% | 22% |
| Draws | 25% | 30% | 28% | 40% | 25% | 33% |
| Loses | 50% | 70% | 61% | 30% | 63% | 44% |
Form: El Palo: LDDDWLLLLLWLLLLDDL ā¢ Mancha Real: WDLWDWDLLLDLDLWLLD
League goals
| Metric | El Palo | Mancha Real | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 10 | 3 | 13 | 11 | 4 | 15 |
| GF avg | 1.3 | 0.3 | 0.7 | 1.1 | 0.5 | 0.8 |
| GA total | 15 | 19 | 34 | 10 | 11 | 21 |
| GA avg | 1.9 | 1.9 | 1.9 | 1.0 | 1.4 | 1.2 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | El Palo | Mancha Real | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 50% | 89% | 56% | 78% |
| 1.5 | 22% | 50% | 28% | 22% |
| 2.5 | 0% | 33% | 0% | 11% |
| 3.5 | 0% | 11% | 0% | 6% |
| 4.5 | 0% | 6% | 0% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | El Palo | Mancha Real | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 0 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 4 |
| Failed to score | 2 | 7 | 9 | 3 | 5 | 8 |
Penalties
| Metric | El Palo | Mancha Real |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 3 | 100.00% | 0 | 0% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 3 | 0 |
Streaks
| Metric | El Palo | Mancha Real |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 1 | 1 |
| Draws | 3 | 1 |
| Losses | 5 | 3 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 2-1 | ā | 2-0 | 1-2 |
| Biggest losses | 2-4 | 5-0 | 2-4 | 3-1 |
| Goals For | 2 | 1 | 2 | 2 |
| Goals Against | 4 | 5 | 4 | 3 |
Model comparison
| Metric | El Palo | Mancha Real |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 33% | 67% |
| Att | 25% | 75% |
| Def | 50% | 50% |
| Poisson Distribution | 53% | 47% |
| H2h | 15% | 85% |
| Goals | 20% | 80% |
| Total | 32.7% | 67.3% |
Advice: Double chance : draw or Mancha Real
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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
No odds available for this fixture.
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League standings
Loading standingsā¦
Expected goals (Ī»): El Palo = 1.34 (league 1.36), Mancha Real = 0.96 (league 0.99)
| Mancha Real | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| El Palo | 0 | 10.1% | 9.7% | 4.6% | 1.5% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| 1 | 13.4% | 12.9% | 6.2% | 2.0% | 0.5% | 0.1% | |
| 2 | 9.0% | 8.6% | 4.1% | 1.3% | 0.3% | 0.1% | |
| 3 | 4.0% | 3.8% | 1.8% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 1.3% | 1.3% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Outcome probabilities: Home win 45.1% Ā· Draw 27.7% Ā· Away win 26.9%
vtt 1 , vtd1