Sun, Feb 1 2026 • 17:00 •
Estadio Municipal
Expected Goals
2.01 (league 1.32)
0.21 (league 0.98)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 79.2% | 16.0% | 3.1% |
best score tips
2 - 0
21.9%
1 - 0
21.8%
3 - 0
14.6%
Score & goals probability table
| El Palo | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Marbelli | 0 | 10.8% | 2.3% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 21.8% | 4.6% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 2 | 21.9% | 4.7% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 14.6% | 3.1% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 7.4% | 1.6% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 3.0% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
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Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Marbelli | El Palo |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 67% | 33% |
| Attack | 100% | 57% |
| Defense | 43% | 0% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 9 | 1.8 | 4 | 0.8 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 4 | 0.8 | 8 | 1.6 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.00
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
1.70
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.70
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.60
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
64%
FT probability
2.5+
45%
FT probability
3.5+
32%
FT probability
BTTS
63%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
- no cards data
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Marbelli | El Palo | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 10 | 9 | 19 | 9 | 10 | 19 |
| Wins | 60% | 22% | 42% | 33% | 0% | 16% |
| Draws | 20% | 33% | 26% | 22% | 30% | 26% |
| Loses | 20% | 44% | 32% | 44% | 70% | 58% |
Form: Marbelli: WWDLLDLWWDLDWLWDWWL • El Palo: LDDDWLLLLLWLLLLDDLW
League goals
| Metric | Marbelli | El Palo | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 14 | 8 | 22 | 12 | 3 | 15 |
| GF avg | 1.4 | 0.9 | 1.2 | 1.3 | 0.3 | 0.8 |
| GA total | 7 | 10 | 17 | 15 | 19 | 34 |
| GA avg | 0.7 | 1.1 | 0.9 | 1.7 | 1.9 | 1.8 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Marbelli | El Palo | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 79% | 68% | 53% | 84% |
| 1.5 | 32% | 21% | 26% | 47% |
| 2.5 | 5% | 0% | 0% | 32% |
| 3.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 11% |
| 4.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 5% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Marbelli | El Palo | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 5 | 1 | 6 | 1 | 2 | 3 |
| Failed to score | 0 | 4 | 4 | 2 | 7 | 9 |
Penalties
| Metric | Marbelli | El Palo |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 1 | 100.00% | 3 | 100.00% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 1 | 3 |
Streaks
| Metric | Marbelli | El Palo |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 2 | 1 |
| Draws | 1 | 3 |
| Losses | 2 | 5 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 3-0 | 1-2 | 2-0 | — |
| Biggest losses | 1-2 | 1-0 | 2-4 | 5-0 |
| Goals For | 3 | 2 | 2 | 1 |
| Goals Against | 2 | 2 | 4 | 5 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Marbelli | El Palo |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 67% | 33% |
| Att | 69% | 31% |
| Def | 67% | 33% |
| Poisson Distribution | 88% | 12% |
| H2h | 50% | 50% |
| Goals | 57% | 43% |
| Total | 66.3% | 33.7% |
Advice: Double chance : Marbelli or draw
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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
No odds available for this fixture.
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League standings
Loading standings…
Expected goals (λ): Marbelli = 2.01 (league 1.32), El Palo = 0.21 (league 0.98)
| El Palo | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Marbelli | 0 | 10.8% | 2.3% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 21.8% | 4.6% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 2 | 21.9% | 4.7% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 14.6% | 3.1% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 7.4% | 1.6% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 3.0% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Outcome probabilities: Home win 79.2% · Draw 16.0% · Away win 3.1%
vtt 1 , vtd1