Wed, Mar 4 2026 • 19:30 • Estadio San Ignacio
Match Finished
Expected Goals
0.88 (league 1.34) 1.79 (league 0.98)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
18.0% 22.9% 58.1%
best score tips
0 - 1
12.4%
0 - 2
11.2%
1 - 1
10.9%
Score & goals probability table
Mijas Las Lagunas
0 1 2 3 4 5
El Palo 0 6.9% 12.4% 11.2% 6.7% 3.0% 1.1%
1 6.1% 10.9% 9.8% 5.8% 2.6% 0.9%
2 2.7% 4.8% 4.3% 2.6% 1.1% 0.4%
3 0.8% 1.4% 1.2% 0.7% 0.3% 0.1%
4 0.2% 0.3% 0.3% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricEl PaloMijas Las Lagunas
Played55
Form33%73%
Attack36%57%
Defense50%71%
Goals For (tot | avg)5 | 18 | 1.6
Goals Against (tot | avg)7 | 1.44 | 0.8

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.10
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.40
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.40
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.50
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

67%
FT probability

2.5+

47%
FT probability

3.5+

34%
FT probability

BTTS

69%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

0 - 0 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric El Palo Mijas Las Lagunas
HATHAT
Played101323131023
Wins30%0%13%69%60%65%
Draws30%31%30%23%20%22%
Loses40%69%57%8%20%13%

Form: El Palo: LDDDWLLLLLWLLLLDDLWDLDL • Mijas Las Lagunas: LWWDLWWWDWWWWWWWDLDWDWW

League goals

Metric El Palo Mijas Las Lagunas
HATHAT
GF total13518201131
GF avg1.30.40.81.51.11.3
GA total1625415914
GA avg1.61.91.80.40.90.6

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineEl PaloMijas Las Lagunas
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.557%87%78%52%
1.522%48%35%4%
2.50%30%13%4%
3.50%9%9%0%
4.50%4%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricEl PaloMijas Las Lagunas
HATHAT
Clean sheets1238311
Failed to score2810325

Penalties

MetricEl PaloMijas Las Lagunas
Scored (total | %)3 | 100.00%0 | 0%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total30

Streaks

MetricEl PaloMijas Las Lagunas
Wins17
Draws31
Losses51

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins2-0—4-01-2
Biggest losses2-45-00-13-0
Goals For2142
Goals Against4513

Model comparison

MetricEl PaloMijas Las Lagunas
Form31%69%
Att38%62%
Def36%64%
Poisson Distribution29%71%
H2h13%88%
Goals22%78%
Total28.2%72.0%

Advice: Double chance : draw or Mijas Las Lagunas

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home4.50 @ 1xBet
Draw3.40 @ Bet365
Away1.80 @ William Hill

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.18 @ Pinnacle
Under 2.51.85 @ Bet365

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes2.00 @ William Hill
No1.78 @ Betano
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): El Palo = 0.88 (league 1.34), Mijas Las Lagunas = 1.79 (league 0.98)

Mijas Las Lagunas
0 1 2 3 4 5
El Palo 0 6.9% 12.4% 11.2% 6.7% 3.0% 1.1%
1 6.1% 10.9% 9.8% 5.8% 2.6% 0.9%
2 2.7% 4.8% 4.3% 2.6% 1.1% 0.4%
3 0.8% 1.4% 1.2% 0.7% 0.3% 0.1%
4 0.2% 0.3% 0.3% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 18.0% · Draw 22.9% · Away win 58.1%

vtt 1 , vtd1