Wed, Apr 1 2026 • 17:00 •
Estadio Municipal San Benito
Expected Goals
1.69 (league 1.33)
0.33 (league 0.98)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 70.8% | 21.7% | 6.6% |
best score tips
1 - 0
22.5%
2 - 0
19.0%
0 - 0
13.3%
Score & goals probability table
| Mancha Real | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Atlético Porcuna | 0 | 13.3% | 4.4% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 22.5% | 7.4% | 1.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 2 | 19.0% | 6.2% | 1.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 10.7% | 3.5% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 4.5% | 1.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 1.5% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
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Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Atlético Porcuna | Mancha Real |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 67% | 20% |
| Attack | 40% | 13% |
| Defense | 73% | 53% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 6 | 1.2 | 2 | 0.4 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 4 | 0.8 | 7 | 1.4 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.00
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
1.90
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.20
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.30
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
60%
FT probability
2.5+
42%
FT probability
3.5+
30%
FT probability
BTTS
58%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
0 - 0 cards
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Atlético Porcuna | Mancha Real | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 13 | 13 | 26 | 14 | 12 | 26 |
| Wins | 54% | 31% | 42% | 43% | 8% | 27% |
| Draws | 15% | 8% | 12% | 29% | 17% | 23% |
| Loses | 31% | 62% | 46% | 29% | 75% | 50% |
Form: Atlético Porcuna: WLLLWLWLWLLDLLWLWWDWLLWWWD • Mancha Real: WDLWDWDLLLDLDLWLLDLWWLLLLW
League goals
| Metric | Atlético Porcuna | Mancha Real | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 20 | 11 | 31 | 16 | 5 | 21 |
| GF avg | 1.5 | 0.8 | 1.2 | 1.1 | 0.4 | 0.8 |
| GA total | 11 | 15 | 26 | 12 | 18 | 30 |
| GA avg | 0.8 | 1.2 | 1.0 | 0.9 | 1.5 | 1.2 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Atlético Porcuna | Mancha Real | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 62% | 58% | 54% | 73% |
| 1.5 | 35% | 27% | 23% | 27% |
| 2.5 | 19% | 8% | 4% | 12% |
| 3.5 | 4% | 8% | 0% | 4% |
| 4.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Atlético Porcuna | Mancha Real | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 7 | 4 | 11 | 6 | 1 | 7 |
| Failed to score | 3 | 7 | 10 | 4 | 8 | 12 |
Penalties
| Metric | Atlético Porcuna | Mancha Real |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 0 | 0 |
Streaks
| Metric | Atlético Porcuna | Mancha Real |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 3 | 2 |
| Draws | 1 | 1 |
| Losses | 3 | 4 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 4-1 | 0-3 | 3-0 | 1-2 |
| Biggest losses | 3-4 | 4-2 | 2-4 | 3-1 |
| Goals For | 4 | 3 | 3 | 2 |
| Goals Against | 4 | 4 | 4 | 3 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Atlético Porcuna | Mancha Real |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 77% | 23% |
| Att | 75% | 25% |
| Def | 64% | 36% |
| Poisson Distribution | 80% | 20% |
| H2h | 25% | 75% |
| Goals | 33% | 67% |
| Total | 59.0% | 41.0% |
Advice: Combo Double chance : Atlético Porcuna or draw and -3.5 goals
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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
No odds available for this fixture.
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League standings
Loading standings…
Expected goals (λ): Atlético Porcuna = 1.69 (league 1.33), Mancha Real = 0.33 (league 0.98)
| Mancha Real | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Atlético Porcuna | 0 | 13.3% | 4.4% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 22.5% | 7.4% | 1.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 2 | 19.0% | 6.2% | 1.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 10.7% | 3.5% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 4.5% | 1.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 1.5% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Outcome probabilities: Home win 70.8% · Draw 21.7% · Away win 6.6%
vtt 1 , vtd1