Sun, Mar 1 2026 • 15:30 •
Estadio Municipal
Expected Goals
1.54 (league 1.35)
0.35 (league 1.00)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 67.1% | 24.3% | 8.1% |
best score tips
1 - 0
23.2%
2 - 0
17.9%
0 - 0
15.0%
Score & goals probability table
| Churriana Vega | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Marbelli | 0 | 15.0% | 5.3% | 0.9% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 23.2% | 8.1% | 1.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 2 | 17.9% | 6.3% | 1.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 9.2% | 3.2% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 3.6% | 1.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
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Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Marbelli | Churriana Vega |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 67% | 47% |
| Attack | 60% | 20% |
| Defense | 70% | 30% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 6 | 1.2 | 2 | 0.4 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 3 | 0.6 | 7 | 1.4 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.10
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
1.80
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
1.80
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.30
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
57%
FT probability
2.5+
40%
FT probability
3.5+
29%
FT probability
BTTS
62%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
- no cards data
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Marbelli | Churriana Vega | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 12 | 10 | 22 | 12 | 11 | 23 |
| Wins | 58% | 30% | 45% | 67% | 18% | 43% |
| Draws | 25% | 30% | 27% | 17% | 36% | 26% |
| Loses | 17% | 40% | 27% | 17% | 45% | 30% |
Form: Marbelli: WWDLLDLWWDLDWLWDWWLDWW • Churriana Vega: DWWLWLWLWWWDWDDDLLDWLLW
League goals
| Metric | Marbelli | Churriana Vega | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 16 | 10 | 26 | 14 | 6 | 20 |
| GF avg | 1.3 | 1.0 | 1.2 | 1.2 | 0.5 | 0.9 |
| GA total | 8 | 10 | 18 | 6 | 18 | 24 |
| GA avg | 0.7 | 1.0 | 0.8 | 0.5 | 1.6 | 1.0 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Marbelli | Churriana Vega | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 82% | 64% | 70% | 52% |
| 1.5 | 32% | 18% | 17% | 26% |
| 2.5 | 5% | 0% | 0% | 17% |
| 3.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 9% |
| 4.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Marbelli | Churriana Vega | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 6 | 2 | 8 | 8 | 3 | 11 |
| Failed to score | 0 | 4 | 4 | 2 | 5 | 7 |
Penalties
| Metric | Marbelli | Churriana Vega |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 1 | 100.00% | 1 | 100.00% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 1 | 1 |
Streaks
| Metric | Marbelli | Churriana Vega |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 2 | 3 |
| Draws | 1 | 3 |
| Losses | 2 | 2 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 3-0 | 0-2 | 2-0 | 0-1 |
| Biggest losses | 1-2 | 1-0 | 2-3 | 4-0 |
| Goals For | 3 | 2 | 2 | 1 |
| Goals Against | 2 | 2 | 3 | 4 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Marbelli | Churriana Vega |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 59% | 41% |
| Att | 75% | 25% |
| Def | 70% | 30% |
| Poisson Distribution | 78% | 22% |
| H2h | 0% | 100% |
| Goals | 0% | 100% |
| Total | 70.5% | 29.5% |
Advice: Combo Double chance : Marbelli or draw and -3.5 goals
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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
No odds available for this fixture.
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League standings
Loading standings…
Expected goals (λ): Marbelli = 1.54 (league 1.35), Churriana Vega = 0.35 (league 1.00)
| Churriana Vega | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Marbelli | 0 | 15.0% | 5.3% | 0.9% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 23.2% | 8.1% | 1.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 2 | 17.9% | 6.3% | 1.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 9.2% | 3.2% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 3.6% | 1.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Outcome probabilities: Home win 67.1% · Draw 24.3% · Away win 8.1%
vtt 1 , vtd1