Sun, Mar 8 2026 • 11:30 •
Estadio San Ignacio
Expected Goals
1.28 (league 1.32)
1.07 (league 0.98)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 41.0% | 27.9% | 30.9% |
best score tips
1 - 1
13.1%
1 - 0
12.2%
0 - 1
10.2%
Score & goals probability table
| Huétor Vega | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| El Palo | 0 | 9.6% | 10.2% | 5.5% | 1.9% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| 1 | 12.2% | 13.1% | 7.0% | 2.5% | 0.7% | 0.1% | |
| 2 | 7.8% | 8.3% | 4.5% | 1.6% | 0.4% | 0.1% | |
| 3 | 3.3% | 3.6% | 1.9% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 1.1% | 1.1% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
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Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | El Palo | Huétor Vega |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 33% | 67% |
| Attack | 36% | 64% |
| Defense | 36% | 55% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 4 | 0.8 | 7 | 1.4 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 7 | 1.4 | 5 | 1 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.00
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.00
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.90
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.80
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
69%
FT probability
2.5+
49%
FT probability
3.5+
35%
FT probability
BTTS
69%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
0 - 0 cards
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | El Palo | Huétor Vega | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 11 | 13 | 24 | 12 | 12 | 24 |
| Wins | 36% | 0% | 17% | 50% | 33% | 42% |
| Draws | 27% | 31% | 29% | 25% | 8% | 17% |
| Loses | 36% | 69% | 54% | 25% | 58% | 42% |
Form: El Palo: LDDDWLLLLLWLLLLDDLWDLDLW • Huétor Vega: WLDWDLLWLWWDLWLLLLWDLWWW
League goals
| Metric | El Palo | Huétor Vega | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 14 | 5 | 19 | 20 | 8 | 28 |
| GF avg | 1.3 | 0.4 | 0.8 | 1.7 | 0.7 | 1.2 |
| GA total | 16 | 25 | 41 | 13 | 15 | 28 |
| GA avg | 1.5 | 1.9 | 1.7 | 1.1 | 1.3 | 1.2 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | El Palo | Huétor Vega | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 58% | 83% | 79% | 75% |
| 1.5 | 21% | 46% | 25% | 33% |
| 2.5 | 0% | 29% | 8% | 8% |
| 3.5 | 0% | 8% | 4% | 0% |
| 4.5 | 0% | 4% | 0% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | El Palo | Huétor Vega | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 2 | 2 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 6 |
| Failed to score | 2 | 8 | 10 | 0 | 5 | 5 |
Penalties
| Metric | El Palo | Huétor Vega |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 3 | 100.00% | 1 | 100.00% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 3 | 1 |
Streaks
| Metric | El Palo | Huétor Vega |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 1 | 2 |
| Draws | 3 | 1 |
| Losses | 5 | 4 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 2-0 | — | 4-2 | 1-2 |
| Biggest losses | 2-4 | 5-0 | 1-2 | 3-0 |
| Goals For | 2 | 1 | 4 | 2 |
| Goals Against | 4 | 5 | 2 | 3 |
Model comparison
| Metric | El Palo | Huétor Vega |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 33% | 67% |
| Att | 36% | 64% |
| Def | 42% | 58% |
| Poisson Distribution | 51% | 49% |
| H2h | 29% | 71% |
| Goals | 40% | 60% |
| Total | 38.5% | 61.5% |
Advice: Double chance : draw or Huétor Vega
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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
No odds available for this fixture.
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League standings
Loading standings…
Expected goals (λ): El Palo = 1.28 (league 1.32), Huétor Vega = 1.07 (league 0.98)
| Huétor Vega | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| El Palo | 0 | 9.6% | 10.2% | 5.5% | 1.9% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| 1 | 12.2% | 13.1% | 7.0% | 2.5% | 0.7% | 0.1% | |
| 2 | 7.8% | 8.3% | 4.5% | 1.6% | 0.4% | 0.1% | |
| 3 | 3.3% | 3.6% | 1.9% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 1.1% | 1.1% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Outcome probabilities: Home win 41.0% · Draw 27.9% · Away win 30.9%
vtt 1 , vtd1