Sun, Mar 15 2026 ā¢ 16:00 ā¢
Estadio Municipal
Expected Goals
1.46 (league 1.34)
0.40 (league 0.99)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 63.3% | 26.2% | 10.1% |
best score tips
1 - 0
22.7%
2 - 0
16.5%
0 - 0
15.6%
Score & goals probability table
| Mancha Real | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Marbelli | 0 | 15.6% | 6.3% | 1.3% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 22.7% | 9.2% | 1.9% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 2 | 16.5% | 6.7% | 1.3% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 8.0% | 3.2% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 2.9% | 1.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
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Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Marbelli | Mancha Real |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 47% | 40% |
| Attack | 67% | 56% |
| Defense | 44% | 33% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 6 | 1.2 | 5 | 1 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 5 | 1 | 6 | 1.2 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.00
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
1.80
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.10
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.30
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
59%
FT probability
2.5+
41%
FT probability
3.5+
29%
FT probability
BTTS
64%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
- no cards data
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Marbelli | Mancha Real | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 13 | 11 | 24 | 13 | 11 | 24 |
| Wins | 54% | 27% | 42% | 38% | 9% | 25% |
| Draws | 23% | 27% | 25% | 31% | 18% | 25% |
| Loses | 23% | 45% | 33% | 31% | 73% | 50% |
Form: Marbelli: WWDLLDLWWDLDWLWDWWLDWWLL ā¢ Mancha Real: WDLWDWDLLLDLDLWLLDLWWLLL
League goals
| Metric | Marbelli | Mancha Real | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 17 | 11 | 28 | 15 | 5 | 20 |
| GF avg | 1.3 | 1.0 | 1.2 | 1.2 | 0.5 | 0.8 |
| GA total | 10 | 12 | 22 | 12 | 17 | 29 |
| GA avg | 0.8 | 1.1 | 0.9 | 0.9 | 1.5 | 1.2 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Marbelli | Mancha Real | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 83% | 67% | 54% | 75% |
| 1.5 | 29% | 25% | 25% | 29% |
| 2.5 | 4% | 0% | 4% | 13% |
| 3.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 4% |
| 4.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Marbelli | Mancha Real | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 6 | 2 | 8 | 5 | 1 | 6 |
| Failed to score | 0 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 7 | 11 |
Penalties
| Metric | Marbelli | Mancha Real |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 1 | 100.00% | 0 | 0% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 1 | 0 |
Streaks
| Metric | Marbelli | Mancha Real |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 2 | 2 |
| Draws | 1 | 1 |
| Losses | 2 | 3 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 3-0 | 0-2 | 3-0 | 1-2 |
| Biggest losses | 1-2 | 2-1 | 2-4 | 3-1 |
| Goals For | 3 | 2 | 3 | 2 |
| Goals Against | 2 | 2 | 4 | 3 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Marbelli | Mancha Real |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 54% | 46% |
| Att | 55% | 45% |
| Def | 55% | 45% |
| Poisson Distribution | 78% | 22% |
| H2h | 67% | 33% |
| Goals | 57% | 43% |
| Total | 61.0% | 39.0% |
Advice: Double chance : Marbelli or draw
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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
No odds available for this fixture.
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League standings
Loading standingsā¦
Expected goals (Ī»): Marbelli = 1.46 (league 1.34), Mancha Real = 0.40 (league 0.99)
| Mancha Real | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Marbelli | 0 | 15.6% | 6.3% | 1.3% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 22.7% | 9.2% | 1.9% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 2 | 16.5% | 6.7% | 1.3% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 8.0% | 3.2% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 2.9% | 1.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Outcome probabilities: Home win 63.3% Ā· Draw 26.2% Ā· Away win 10.1%
vtt 1 , vtd1