Sun, Mar 15 2026 • 17:30 •
Estadio Municipal Miguel Moranto
Expected Goals
1.17 (league 1.34)
0.90 (league 0.98)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 41.9% | 29.9% | 28.1% |
best score tips
1 - 0
14.8%
1 - 1
13.3%
0 - 0
12.7%
Score & goals probability table
| Atlético Porcuna | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Huétor Tájar | 0 | 12.7% | 11.4% | 5.1% | 1.5% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| 1 | 14.8% | 13.3% | 6.0% | 1.8% | 0.4% | 0.1% | |
| 2 | 8.6% | 7.8% | 3.5% | 1.0% | 0.2% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 3.4% | 3.0% | 1.4% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 1.0% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
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Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Huétor Tájar | Atlético Porcuna |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 67% | 60% |
| Attack | 100% | 67% |
| Defense | 17% | 67% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 7 | 1.4 | 4 | 0.8 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 5 | 1 | 2 | 0.4 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.30
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.10
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.30
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.30
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
64%
FT probability
2.5+
45%
FT probability
3.5+
32%
FT probability
BTTS
60%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
0 - 0 cards
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Huétor Tájar | Atlético Porcuna | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 12 | 13 | 25 | 12 | 12 | 24 |
| Wins | 33% | 23% | 28% | 58% | 25% | 42% |
| Draws | 42% | 23% | 32% | 8% | 8% | 8% |
| Loses | 25% | 54% | 40% | 33% | 67% | 50% |
Form: Huétor Tájar: LLDLLWWDLWLDDWLDDLLDLDWWW • Atlético Porcuna: WLLLWLWLWLLDLLWLWWDWLLWW
League goals
| Metric | Huétor Tájar | Atlético Porcuna | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 15 | 15 | 30 | 18 | 9 | 27 |
| GF avg | 1.3 | 1.2 | 1.2 | 1.5 | 0.8 | 1.1 |
| GA total | 13 | 19 | 32 | 9 | 14 | 23 |
| GA avg | 1.1 | 1.5 | 1.3 | 0.8 | 1.2 | 1.0 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Huétor Tájar | Atlético Porcuna | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 68% | 84% | 58% | 54% |
| 1.5 | 32% | 32% | 29% | 25% |
| 2.5 | 12% | 8% | 21% | 8% |
| 3.5 | 4% | 4% | 4% | 8% |
| 4.5 | 4% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Huétor Tájar | Atlético Porcuna | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 3 | 1 | 4 | 7 | 4 | 11 |
| Failed to score | 4 | 4 | 8 | 3 | 7 | 10 |
Penalties
| Metric | Huétor Tájar | Atlético Porcuna |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 3 | 100.00% | 0 | 0% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 3 | 0 |
Streaks
| Metric | Huétor Tájar | Atlético Porcuna |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 2 | 2 |
| Draws | 2 | 1 |
| Losses | 2 | 3 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 5-1 | 1-3 | 4-1 | 0-3 |
| Biggest losses | 0-2 | 4-2 | 3-4 | 4-2 |
| Goals For | 5 | 3 | 4 | 3 |
| Goals Against | 2 | 4 | 4 | 4 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Huétor Tájar | Atlético Porcuna |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 53% | 47% |
| Att | 64% | 36% |
| Def | 29% | 71% |
| Poisson Distribution | 53% | 47% |
| H2h | 29% | 71% |
| Goals | 47% | 53% |
| Total | 45.8% | 54.2% |
Advice: Combo Double chance : draw or Atlético Porcuna and -3.5 goals
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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
No odds available for this fixture.
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League standings
Loading standings…
Expected goals (λ): Huétor Tájar = 1.17 (league 1.34), Atlético Porcuna = 0.90 (league 0.98)
| Atlético Porcuna | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Huétor Tájar | 0 | 12.7% | 11.4% | 5.1% | 1.5% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| 1 | 14.8% | 13.3% | 6.0% | 1.8% | 0.4% | 0.1% | |
| 2 | 8.6% | 7.8% | 3.5% | 1.0% | 0.2% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 3.4% | 3.0% | 1.4% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 1.0% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Outcome probabilities: Home win 41.9% · Draw 29.9% · Away win 28.1%
vtt 1 , vtd1