Sun, Mar 22 2026 • 17:00 •
Estadio Escribano Castilla
Expected Goals
1.81 (league 1.34)
0.92 (league 0.98)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 57.3% | 22.8% | 18.8% |
best score tips
1 - 0
11.8%
1 - 1
10.9%
2 - 0
10.7%
Score & goals probability table
| Marbelli | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Motril | 0 | 6.5% | 6.0% | 2.8% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 11.8% | 10.9% | 5.0% | 1.5% | 0.4% | 0.1% | |
| 2 | 10.7% | 9.8% | 4.5% | 1.4% | 0.3% | 0.1% | |
| 3 | 6.4% | 5.9% | 2.7% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 2.9% | 2.7% | 1.2% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 1.1% | 1.0% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
🔮
Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Motril | Marbelli |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 73% | 60% |
| Attack | 83% | 50% |
| Defense | 58% | 67% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 10 | 2 | 6 | 1.2 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 5 | 1 | 4 | 0.8 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
3.00
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
3.20
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
1.70
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.00
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
71%
FT probability
2.5+
50%
FT probability
3.5+
35%
FT probability
BTTS
68%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
- no cards data
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Motril | Marbelli | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 13 | 13 | 26 | 14 | 11 | 25 |
| Wins | 69% | 46% | 58% | 57% | 27% | 44% |
| Draws | 23% | 38% | 31% | 21% | 27% | 24% |
| Loses | 8% | 15% | 12% | 21% | 45% | 32% |
Form: Motril: WDWWWWDWWDDLWDWLLWWDWDDWWW • Marbelli: WWDLLDLWWDLDWLWDWWLDWWLLW
League goals
| Metric | Motril | Marbelli | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 29 | 17 | 46 | 18 | 11 | 29 |
| GF avg | 2.2 | 1.3 | 1.8 | 1.3 | 1.0 | 1.2 |
| GA total | 12 | 10 | 22 | 10 | 12 | 22 |
| GA avg | 0.9 | 0.8 | 0.8 | 0.7 | 1.1 | 0.9 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Motril | Marbelli | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 85% | 58% | 84% | 64% |
| 1.5 | 50% | 15% | 28% | 24% |
| 2.5 | 27% | 8% | 4% | 0% |
| 3.5 | 12% | 4% | 0% | 0% |
| 4.5 | 4% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Motril | Marbelli | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 6 | 5 | 11 | 7 | 2 | 9 |
| Failed to score | 1 | 3 | 4 | 0 | 4 | 4 |
Penalties
| Metric | Motril | Marbelli |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 1 | 100.00% | 1 | 100.00% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 1 | 1 |
Streaks
| Metric | Motril | Marbelli |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 4 | 2 |
| Draws | 2 | 1 |
| Losses | 2 | 2 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 5-0 | 1-3 | 3-0 | 0-2 |
| Biggest losses | 0-4 | 1-0 | 1-2 | 2-1 |
| Goals For | 5 | 3 | 3 | 2 |
| Goals Against | 4 | 2 | 2 | 2 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Motril | Marbelli |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 55% | 45% |
| Att | 63% | 38% |
| Def | 44% | 56% |
| Poisson Distribution | 62% | 38% |
| H2h | 71% | 29% |
| Goals | 75% | 25% |
| Total | 61.7% | 38.5% |
Advice: Double chance : Motril or draw
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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
No odds available for this fixture.
📊
League standings
Loading standings…
Expected goals (λ): Motril = 1.81 (league 1.34), Marbelli = 0.92 (league 0.98)
| Marbelli | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Motril | 0 | 6.5% | 6.0% | 2.8% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 11.8% | 10.9% | 5.0% | 1.5% | 0.4% | 0.1% | |
| 2 | 10.7% | 9.8% | 4.5% | 1.4% | 0.3% | 0.1% | |
| 3 | 6.4% | 5.9% | 2.7% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 2.9% | 2.7% | 1.2% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 1.1% | 1.0% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Outcome probabilities: Home win 57.3% · Draw 22.8% · Away win 18.8%
vtt 1 , vtd1