Sun, Apr 5 2026 • 16:00 • Estadio Escribano Castilla
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.27 (league 1.32) 0.73 (league 0.98)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
49.0% 29.3% 21.5%
best score tips
1 - 0
17.1%
0 - 0
13.5%
1 - 1
12.6%
Score & goals probability table
Mijas Las Lagunas
0 1 2 3 4 5
Motril 0 13.5% 9.9% 3.6% 0.9% 0.2% 0.0%
1 17.1% 12.6% 4.6% 1.1% 0.2% 0.0%
2 10.9% 8.0% 2.9% 0.7% 0.1% 0.0%
3 4.6% 3.4% 1.2% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%
4 1.5% 1.1% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.4% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricMotrilMijas Las Lagunas
Played55
Form67%27%
Attack100%13%
Defense50%63%
Goals For (tot | avg)8 | 1.61 | 0.2
Goals Against (tot | avg)4 | 0.83 | 0.6

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.80
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.90
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

1.50
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.70
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

64%
FT probability

2.5+

45%
FT probability

3.5+

32%
FT probability

BTTS

62%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

0 - 0 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Motril Mijas Las Lagunas
HATHAT
Played141428151328
Wins64%43%54%67%46%57%
Draws29%36%32%20%23%21%
Loses7%21%14%13%31%21%

Form: Motril: WDWWWWDWWDDLWDWLLWWDWDDWWWDL • Mijas Las Lagunas: LWWDLWWWDWWWWWWWDLDWDWWLDLLW

League goals

Metric Motril Mijas Las Lagunas
HATHAT
GF total291847211132
GF avg2.11.31.71.40.81.1
GA total12122461117
GA avg0.90.90.90.40.80.6

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineMotrilMijas Las Lagunas
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.582%57%68%54%
1.546%18%29%4%
2.525%7%11%4%
3.511%4%7%0%
4.54%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricMotrilMijas Las Lagunas
HATHAT
Clean sheets75129413
Failed to score235459

Penalties

MetricMotrilMijas Las Lagunas
Scored (total | %)1 | 100.00%0 | 0%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total10

Streaks

MetricMotrilMijas Las Lagunas
Wins47
Draws21
Losses22

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins5-01-34-01-2
Biggest losses0-42-10-13-0
Goals For5342
Goals Against4213

Model comparison

MetricMotrilMijas Las Lagunas
Form71%29%
Att89%11%
Def43%57%
Poisson Distribution60%40%
H2h33%67%
Goals44%56%
Total56.7%43.3%

Advice: Combo Double chance : Motril or draw and -3.5 goals

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home1.90 @ Betano
Draw3.15 @ Betano
Away4.19 @ 1xBet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.38 @ Bet365
Under 2.51.53 @ Bet365

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes2.06 @ Marathonbet
No1.65 @ 1xBet
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (Ī»): Motril = 1.27 (league 1.32), Mijas Las Lagunas = 0.73 (league 0.98)

Mijas Las Lagunas
0 1 2 3 4 5
Motril 0 13.5% 9.9% 3.6% 0.9% 0.2% 0.0%
1 17.1% 12.6% 4.6% 1.1% 0.2% 0.0%
2 10.9% 8.0% 2.9% 0.7% 0.1% 0.0%
3 4.6% 3.4% 1.2% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%
4 1.5% 1.1% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.4% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 49.0% Ā· Draw 29.3% Ā· Away win 21.5%

vtt 1 , vtd1