Sun, Apr 12 2026 ā¢ 10:00 ā¢
Estadio San Ignacio
Expected Goals
0.88 (league 1.32)
1.85 (league 0.98)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 17.5% | 22.3% | 59.0% |
best score tips
0 - 1
12.0%
0 - 2
11.1%
1 - 1
10.6%
Score & goals probability table
| Motril | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| El Palo | 0 | 6.5% | 12.0% | 11.1% | 6.9% | 3.2% | 1.2% |
| 1 | 5.7% | 10.6% | 9.8% | 6.1% | 2.8% | 1.0% | |
| 2 | 2.5% | 4.7% | 4.3% | 2.7% | 1.2% | 0.5% | |
| 3 | 0.7% | 1.4% | 1.3% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.1% | |
| 4 | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
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Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | El Palo | Motril |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 27% | 53% |
| Attack | 36% | 50% |
| Defense | 57% | 64% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 5 | 1 | 7 | 1.4 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 6 | 1.2 | 5 | 1 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.50
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.60
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.50
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.30
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
71%
FT probability
2.5+
50%
FT probability
3.5+
35%
FT probability
BTTS
68%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
- no cards data
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | El Palo | Motril | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 14 | 15 | 29 | 15 | 14 | 29 |
| Wins | 36% | 0% | 17% | 60% | 43% | 52% |
| Draws | 29% | 27% | 28% | 33% | 36% | 34% |
| Loses | 36% | 73% | 55% | 7% | 21% | 14% |
Form: El Palo: LDDDWLLLLLWLLLLDDLWDLDLWDLWLL ā¢ Motril: WDWWWWDWWDDLWDWLLWWDWDDWWWDLD
League goals
| Metric | El Palo | Motril | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 18 | 6 | 24 | 31 | 18 | 49 |
| GF avg | 1.3 | 0.4 | 0.8 | 2.1 | 1.3 | 1.7 |
| GA total | 19 | 28 | 47 | 14 | 12 | 26 |
| GA avg | 1.4 | 1.9 | 1.6 | 0.9 | 0.9 | 0.9 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | El Palo | Motril | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 59% | 83% | 83% | 59% |
| 1.5 | 21% | 45% | 48% | 21% |
| 2.5 | 3% | 24% | 24% | 7% |
| 3.5 | 0% | 7% | 10% | 3% |
| 4.5 | 0% | 3% | 3% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | El Palo | Motril | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 3 | 2 | 5 | 7 | 5 | 12 |
| Failed to score | 3 | 9 | 12 | 2 | 3 | 5 |
Penalties
| Metric | El Palo | Motril |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 3 | 100.00% | 1 | 100.00% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 3 | 1 |
Streaks
| Metric | El Palo | Motril |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 1 | 4 |
| Draws | 3 | 2 |
| Losses | 5 | 2 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 3-0 | ā | 5-0 | 1-3 |
| Biggest losses | 2-4 | 5-0 | 0-4 | 2-1 |
| Goals For | 3 | 1 | 5 | 3 |
| Goals Against | 4 | 5 | 4 | 2 |
Model comparison
| Metric | El Palo | Motril |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 33% | 67% |
| Att | 42% | 58% |
| Def | 45% | 55% |
| Poisson Distribution | 29% | 71% |
| H2h | 50% | 50% |
| Goals | 33% | 67% |
| Total | 38.7% | 61.3% |
Advice: Double chance : draw or Motril
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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
No odds available for this fixture.
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League standings
Loading standingsā¦
Expected goals (Ī»): El Palo = 0.88 (league 1.32), Motril = 1.85 (league 0.98)
| Motril | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| El Palo | 0 | 6.5% | 12.0% | 11.1% | 6.9% | 3.2% | 1.2% |
| 1 | 5.7% | 10.6% | 9.8% | 6.1% | 2.8% | 1.0% | |
| 2 | 2.5% | 4.7% | 4.3% | 2.7% | 1.2% | 0.5% | |
| 3 | 0.7% | 1.4% | 1.3% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.1% | |
| 4 | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Outcome probabilities: Home win 17.5% Ā· Draw 22.3% Ā· Away win 59.0%
vtt 1 , vtd1