Mancha Real vs Ciudad de Torredonjimeno

Tercera División RFEF - Group 9 — Spain

Sun, May 3 2026 • 10:00 • Estadio Polideportivo La Juventud

Not Started

Mancha Real

—

Ciudad de Torredonjimeno

Expected Goals

1.11 (league 1.38) 0.75 (league 0.96)

1x2 probabilities

home	draw	away
43.8%	31.4%	24.7%

best score tips

1 - 0

17.2%

0 - 0

15.5%

1 - 1

13.0%

Score & goals probability table

		Ciudad de Torredonjimeno
		0	1	2	3	4	5
Mancha Real	0	15.5%	11.6%	4.4%	1.1%	0.2%	0.0%
	1	17.2%	13.0%	4.9%	1.2%	0.2%	0.0%
	2	9.6%	7.2%	2.7%	0.7%	0.1%	0.0%
	3	3.6%	2.7%	1.0%	0.3%	0.0%	0.0%
	4	1.0%	0.7%	0.3%	0.1%	0.0%	0.0%
	5	0.2%	0.2%	0.1%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%

FootyWow Elo verdict

Balanced Elo outlook

Elo reads this fixture as balanced. There is no strong structural separation before kickoff. Recent Elo movement: Mancha Real +5.5, Ciudad de Torredonjimeno +2.5.

Thin confidence Upset risk: High Elo standalone

Mancha Real Elo 1464.6 · +5.5

Ciudad de Torredonjimeno Elo 1495.1 · +2.5

Elo gapMancha Real +5

Home / draw / away36% / 29% / 35%

Expected home share51%

Combined Elo2959.7

Deep Elo analysisOpen

Structural edge Balanced Elo outlook

Confidence band Thin confidence

Upset risk High

Model agreement Elo standalone

Combined Elo 2959.7

Elo home share 51%

Match tone Tactical Watch

Metric	Mancha Real	Ciudad de Torredonjimeno
Overall Elo	1464.6	1495.1
Form Elo	1472.1	1475.7
Home / Away Elo	1504.8	1500.3
Attack Elo	1432.3	1445.4
Defense Elo	1528.1	1515.6
Last 5 Elo change	+5.5	+2.5

The rating gap is narrow, so this is better treated as a volatile matchup than a banker spot. Mancha Real last-5 Elo change: +5.5; Ciudad de Torredonjimeno last-5 Elo change: +2.5.

Pre-match predictions & statistics

🔮

Team comparison

Last 5 results

Metric	Mancha Real	Ciudad de Torredonjimeno
Played	5	5
Form	40%	47%
Attack	36%	36%
Defense	64%	71%
Goals For (tot \| avg)	5 \| 1	5 \| 1
Goals Against (tot \| avg)	5 \| 1	4 \| 0.8

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.10

Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.00

Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.20

Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.20

Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

61%

FT probability

2.5+

43%

FT probability

3.5+

30%

FT probability

BTTS

61%

FT probability

Yellow Cards

Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric	Mancha Real			Ciudad de Torredonjimeno
	H	A	T	H	A	T
Played	16	16	32	16	16	32
Wins	44%	13%	28%	50%	25%	38%
Draws	31%	25%	28%	31%	38%	34%
Loses	25%	63%	44%	19%	38%	28%

Mancha RealWDLWDWDLLLDLDLWLLDLWWLLLLWWDDLWD

Ciudad de TorredonjimenoWDDDDDDWLWDDWDWWLWWLWWLLDLLDLWLW

League goals

Metric	Mancha Real			Ciudad de Torredonjimeno
	H	A	T	H	A	T
GF total	18	10	28	23	14	37
GF avg	1.1	0.6	0.9	1.4	0.9	1.2
GA total	13	22	35	13	22	35
GA avg	0.8	1.4	1.1	0.8	1.4	1.1

Under/Over distribution (percent)

Line	Mancha Real		Ciudad de Torredonjimeno
	For	Against	For	Against
0.5	56%	69%	72%	63%
1.5	28%	28%	28%	31%
2.5	3%	9%	13%	16%
3.5	0%	3%	3%	0%
4.5	0%	0%	0%	0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

Metric	Mancha Real			Ciudad de Torredonjimeno
	H	A	T	H	A	T
Clean sheets	7	3	10	8	4	12
Failed to score	5	9	14	3	6	9

Penalties

Metric	Mancha Real	Ciudad de Torredonjimeno
Scored (total \| %)	0 \| 0%	0 \| 0%
Missed (total \| %)	0 \| 0%	0 \| 0%
Total	0	0

Streaks

Metric	Mancha Real	Ciudad de Torredonjimeno
Wins	2	2
Draws	2	6
Losses	4	2

Biggest results (H/A)

Metric	H	A	H	A
Biggest wins	3-0	0-2	3-0	0-2
Biggest losses	2-4	3-1	1-3	3-0
Goals For	3	2	4	2
Goals Against	4	3	3	3

Model comparison

Metric	Mancha Real	Ciudad de Torredonjimeno
Form	46%	54%
Att	50%	50%
Def	44%	56%
Poisson Distribution	58%	42%
H2h	60%	40%
Goals	53%	47%
Total	51.8%	48.2%

💸

Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

No odds available for this fixture.

📊

League standings

Loading standings…

League page • Country page • Venue page • Mancha Real vs Ciudad de Torredonjimeno

Metric	Mancha Real	Ciudad de Torredonjimeno
Scored (total \| %)	0 \| 0%	0 \| 0%
Missed (total \| %)	0 \| 0%	0 \| 0%
Total	0	0