Sun, Sep 21 2025 • 16:00 • Estadio Ciudad de Lucena
Match Finished
Expected Goals
2.20 (league 1.36) 0.99 (league 1.01)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
62.3% 19.3% 15.8%
best score tips
2 - 0
9.9%
2 - 1
9.9%
1 - 0
9.0%
Score & goals probability table
Conil
0 1 2 3 4 5
Ciudad de Lucena 0 4.1% 4.1% 2.0% 0.7% 0.2% 0.0%
1 9.0% 9.0% 4.5% 1.5% 0.4% 0.1%
2 9.9% 9.9% 4.9% 1.6% 0.4% 0.1%
3 7.3% 7.2% 3.6% 1.2% 0.3% 0.1%
4 4.0% 4.0% 2.0% 0.7% 0.2% 0.0%
5 1.8% 1.7% 0.9% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricCiudad de LucenaConil
Played22
Form50%17%
Attack38%13%
Defense63%75%
Goals For (tot | avg)3 | 1.51 | 0.5
Goals Against (tot | avg)3 | 1.52 | 1

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.00
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.00
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.50
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.00
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

75%
FT probability

2.5+

53%
FT probability

3.5+

38%
FT probability

BTTS

71%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

- no cards data
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Ciudad de Lucena Conil
HATHAT
Played112112
Wins100%0%50%0%0%0%
Draws0%0%0%100%0%50%
Loses0%100%50%0%100%50%

Form: Ciudad de Lucena: WL • Conil: LD

League goals

Metric Ciudad de Lucena Conil
HATHAT
GF total303101
GF avg3.00.01.51.00.00.5
GA total213112
GA avg2.01.01.51.01.01.0

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineCiudad de LucenaConil
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.550%100%50%100%
1.550%50%0%0%
2.550%0%0%0%
3.50%0%0%0%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricCiudad de LucenaConil
HATHAT
Clean sheets000000
Failed to score011011

Penalties

MetricCiudad de LucenaConil
Scored (total | %)1 | 100.00%0 | 0%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total10

Streaks

MetricCiudad de LucenaConil
Wins10
Draws00
Losses01

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins3-2———
Biggest losses—1-0—1-0
Goals For3010
Goals Against2111

Model comparison

MetricCiudad de LucenaConil
Form75%25%
Att75%25%
Def40%60%
Poisson Distribution100%0%
H2h100%0%
Goals89%11%
Total69.8%30.3%

Advice: Double chance : Ciudad de Lucena or draw

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

No odds available for this fixture.

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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Ciudad de Lucena = 2.20 (league 1.36), Conil = 0.99 (league 1.01)

Conil
0 1 2 3 4 5
Ciudad de Lucena 0 4.1% 4.1% 2.0% 0.7% 0.2% 0.0%
1 9.0% 9.0% 4.5% 1.5% 0.4% 0.1%
2 9.9% 9.9% 4.9% 1.6% 0.4% 0.1%
3 7.3% 7.2% 3.6% 1.2% 0.3% 0.1%
4 4.0% 4.0% 2.0% 0.7% 0.2% 0.0%
5 1.8% 1.7% 0.9% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 62.3% · Draw 19.3% · Away win 15.8%

Vtot 2 , Vtod1