Sun, Sep 21 2025 • 16:00 •
Estadio Ciudad de Lucena
Expected Goals
2.24 (league 1.34)
1.03 (league 0.97)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 62.0% | 19.1% | 16.2% |
best score tips
2 - 1
9.8%
2 - 0
9.5%
1 - 1
8.7%
Score & goals probability table
| Conil | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Ciudad de Lucena | 0 | 3.8% | 3.9% | 2.0% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 8.5% | 8.7% | 4.5% | 1.6% | 0.4% | 0.1% | |
| 2 | 9.5% | 9.8% | 5.1% | 1.8% | 0.5% | 0.1% | |
| 3 | 7.1% | 7.3% | 3.8% | 1.3% | 0.3% | 0.1% | |
| 4 | 4.0% | 4.1% | 2.1% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 1.8% | 1.8% | 1.0% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
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Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Ciudad de Lucena | Conil |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 2 | 2 |
| Form | 50% | 17% |
| Attack | 38% | 13% |
| Defense | 63% | 75% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 3 | 1.5 | 1 | 0.5 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 3 | 1.5 | 2 | 1 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.00
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
3.00
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.50
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
3.00
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
75%
FT probability
2.5+
53%
FT probability
3.5+
38%
FT probability
BTTS
71%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
- no cards data
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Ciudad de Lucena | Conil | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 1 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 2 |
| Wins | 100% | 0% | 50% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| Draws | 0% | 0% | 0% | 100% | 0% | 50% |
| Loses | 0% | 100% | 50% | 0% | 100% | 50% |
Form: Ciudad de Lucena: WL • Conil: LD
League goals
| Metric | Ciudad de Lucena | Conil | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 3 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 |
| GF avg | 3.0 | 0.0 | 1.5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.5 |
| GA total | 2 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 2 |
| GA avg | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1.5 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Ciudad de Lucena | Conil | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 50% | 100% | 50% | 100% |
| 1.5 | 50% | 50% | 0% | 0% |
| 2.5 | 50% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| 3.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| 4.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Ciudad de Lucena | Conil | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Failed to score | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 |
Penalties
| Metric | Ciudad de Lucena | Conil |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 1 | 100.00% | 0 | 0% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 1 | 0 |
Streaks
| Metric | Ciudad de Lucena | Conil |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 1 | 0 |
| Draws | 0 | 0 |
| Losses | 0 | 1 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 3-2 | — | — | — |
| Biggest losses | — | 1-0 | — | 1-0 |
| Goals For | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
| Goals Against | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Ciudad de Lucena | Conil |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 75% | 25% |
| Att | 75% | 25% |
| Def | 40% | 60% |
| Poisson Distribution | 100% | 0% |
| H2h | 100% | 0% |
| Goals | 89% | 11% |
| Total | 69.8% | 30.3% |
Advice: Double chance : Ciudad de Lucena or draw
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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
No odds available for this fixture.
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League standings
Loading standings…
Expected goals (λ): Ciudad de Lucena = 2.24 (league 1.34), Conil = 1.03 (league 0.97)
| Conil | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Ciudad de Lucena | 0 | 3.8% | 3.9% | 2.0% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 8.5% | 8.7% | 4.5% | 1.6% | 0.4% | 0.1% | |
| 2 | 9.5% | 9.8% | 5.1% | 1.8% | 0.5% | 0.1% | |
| 3 | 7.1% | 7.3% | 3.8% | 1.3% | 0.3% | 0.1% | |
| 4 | 4.0% | 4.1% | 2.1% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 1.8% | 1.8% | 1.0% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
Outcome probabilities: Home win 62.0% · Draw 19.1% · Away win 16.2%
Vtot 1 , Vtod1