Sat, Sep 27 2025 • 11:30 • Estadio Municipal Alfonso Murube
Match Finished
Expected Goals
0.52 (league 1.35) 1.97 (league 1.01)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
8.7% 19.2% 70.6%
best score tips
0 - 1
16.3%
0 - 2
16.1%
0 - 3
10.6%
Score & goals probability table
Sevilla III
0 1 2 3 4 5
Ceuta II 0 8.3% 16.3% 16.1% 10.6% 5.2% 2.1%
1 4.3% 8.5% 8.3% 5.5% 2.7% 1.1%
2 1.1% 2.2% 2.2% 1.4% 0.7% 0.3%
3 0.2% 0.4% 0.4% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0%
4 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

🔮

Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricCeuta IISevilla III
Played33
Form22%67%
Attack21%29%
Defense57%86%
Goals For (tot | avg)3 | 14 | 1.3
Goals Against (tot | avg)6 | 22 | 0.7

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.30
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.00
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.70
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.00
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

64%
FT probability

2.5+

45%
FT probability

3.5+

32%
FT probability

BTTS

69%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

- no cards data
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Ceuta II Sevilla III
HATHAT
Played123213
Wins0%0%0%50%100%67%
Draws100%50%67%0%0%0%
Loses0%50%33%50%0%33%

Form: Ceuta II: LDD • Sevilla III: WWL

League goals

Metric Ceuta II Sevilla III
HATHAT
GF total123224
GF avg1.01.01.01.02.01.3
GA total156202
GA avg1.02.52.01.00.00.7

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineCeuta IISevilla III
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.567%100%100%33%
1.533%67%33%33%
2.50%33%0%0%
3.50%0%0%0%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricCeuta IISevilla III
HATHAT
Clean sheets000112
Failed to score011000

Penalties

MetricCeuta IISevilla III
Scored (total | %)0 | 0%1 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total01

Streaks

MetricCeuta IISevilla III
Wins02
Draws00
Losses10

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins——1-00-2
Biggest losses—3-01-2—
Goals For1212
Goals Against1320

Model comparison

MetricCeuta IISevilla III
Form25%75%
Att43%57%
Def25%75%
Poisson Distribution0%100%
H2h40%60%
Goals29%71%
Total32.4%67.6%

Advice: Double chance : draw or Sevilla III

💸

Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

No odds available for this fixture.

📊

League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Ceuta II = 0.52 (league 1.35), Sevilla III = 1.97 (league 1.01)

Sevilla III
0 1 2 3 4 5
Ceuta II 0 8.3% 16.3% 16.1% 10.6% 5.2% 2.1%
1 4.3% 8.5% 8.3% 5.5% 2.7% 1.1%
2 1.1% 2.2% 2.2% 1.4% 0.7% 0.3%
3 0.2% 0.4% 0.4% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0%
4 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 8.7% · Draw 19.2% · Away win 70.6%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1