Sat, Sep 27 2025 • 11:30 •
Estadio Municipal Alfonso Murube
Expected Goals
0.52 (league 1.34)
2.07 (league 0.97)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 8.2% | 18.1% | 71.9% |
best score tips
0 - 2
16.0%
0 - 1
15.5%
0 - 3
11.0%
Score & goals probability table
| Sevilla III | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Ceuta II | 0 | 7.5% | 15.5% | 16.0% | 11.0% | 5.7% | 2.4% |
| 1 | 3.9% | 8.1% | 8.4% | 5.8% | 3.0% | 1.2% | |
| 2 | 1.0% | 2.1% | 2.2% | 1.5% | 0.8% | 0.3% | |
| 3 | 0.2% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 4 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
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Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Ceuta II | Sevilla III |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 3 | 3 |
| Form | 22% | 67% |
| Attack | 21% | 29% |
| Defense | 57% | 86% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 3 | 1 | 4 | 1.3 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 6 | 2 | 2 | 0.7 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.30
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
3.00
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.70
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
1.00
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
64%
FT probability
2.5+
45%
FT probability
3.5+
32%
FT probability
BTTS
69%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
- no cards data
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Ceuta II | Sevilla III | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 1 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 3 |
| Wins | 0% | 0% | 0% | 50% | 100% | 67% |
| Draws | 100% | 50% | 67% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| Loses | 0% | 50% | 33% | 50% | 0% | 33% |
Form: Ceuta II: LDD • Sevilla III: WWL
League goals
| Metric | Ceuta II | Sevilla III | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 1 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 4 |
| GF avg | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 2.0 | 1.3 |
| GA total | 1 | 5 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 2 |
| GA avg | 1.0 | 2.5 | 2.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.7 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Ceuta II | Sevilla III | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 67% | 100% | 100% | 33% |
| 1.5 | 33% | 67% | 33% | 33% |
| 2.5 | 0% | 33% | 0% | 0% |
| 3.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| 4.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Ceuta II | Sevilla III | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 |
| Failed to score | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Penalties
| Metric | Ceuta II | Sevilla III |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 1 | 100.00% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 0 | 1 |
Streaks
| Metric | Ceuta II | Sevilla III |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 0 | 2 |
| Draws | 0 | 0 |
| Losses | 1 | 0 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | — | — | 1-0 | 0-2 |
| Biggest losses | — | 3-0 | 1-2 | — |
| Goals For | 1 | 2 | 1 | 2 |
| Goals Against | 1 | 3 | 2 | 0 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Ceuta II | Sevilla III |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 25% | 75% |
| Att | 43% | 57% |
| Def | 25% | 75% |
| Poisson Distribution | 0% | 100% |
| H2h | 40% | 60% |
| Goals | 29% | 71% |
| Total | 32.4% | 67.6% |
Advice: Double chance : draw or Sevilla III
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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
No odds available for this fixture.
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League standings
Loading standings…
Expected goals (λ): Ceuta II = 0.52 (league 1.34), Sevilla III = 2.07 (league 0.97)
| Sevilla III | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Ceuta II | 0 | 7.5% | 15.5% | 16.0% | 11.0% | 5.7% | 2.4% |
| 1 | 3.9% | 8.1% | 8.4% | 5.8% | 3.0% | 1.2% | |
| 2 | 1.0% | 2.1% | 2.2% | 1.5% | 0.8% | 0.3% | |
| 3 | 0.2% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 4 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Outcome probabilities: Home win 8.2% · Draw 18.1% · Away win 71.9%
Vtot 1 , Vtod1