Sun, Oct 12 2025 • 15:30 •
Estadio Municipal Alfonso Murube
Expected Goals
1.50 (league 1.34)
0.26 (league 0.97)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 68.8% | 24.7% | 6.1% |
best score tips
1 - 0
25.9%
2 - 0
19.4%
0 - 0
17.3%
Score & goals probability table
| Ciudad de Lucena | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Ceuta II | 0 | 17.3% | 4.5% | 0.6% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 25.9% | 6.7% | 0.9% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 2 | 19.4% | 5.0% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 9.6% | 2.5% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 3.6% | 0.9% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 1.1% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
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Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Ceuta II | Ciudad de Lucena |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 53% | 60% |
| Attack | 33% | 60% |
| Defense | 60% | 53% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 5 | 1 | 9 | 1.8 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 6 | 1.2 | 7 | 1.4 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.80
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
1.50
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.60
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.50
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
67%
FT probability
2.5+
47%
FT probability
3.5+
34%
FT probability
BTTS
69%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
- no cards data
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Ceuta II | Ciudad de Lucena | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 2 | 3 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 5 |
| Wins | 50% | 33% | 40% | 100% | 0% | 60% |
| Draws | 50% | 33% | 40% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| Loses | 0% | 33% | 20% | 0% | 100% | 40% |
Form: Ceuta II: LDDWW • Ciudad de Lucena: WLWLW
League goals
| Metric | Ceuta II | Ciudad de Lucena | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 2 | 3 | 5 | 8 | 1 | 9 |
| GF avg | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 2.7 | 0.5 | 1.8 |
| GA total | 1 | 5 | 6 | 3 | 4 | 7 |
| GA avg | 0.5 | 1.7 | 1.2 | 1.0 | 2.0 | 1.4 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Ceuta II | Ciudad de Lucena | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 80% | 60% | 80% | 80% |
| 1.5 | 20% | 40% | 40% | 40% |
| 2.5 | 0% | 20% | 40% | 20% |
| 3.5 | 0% | 0% | 20% | 0% |
| 4.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Ceuta II | Ciudad de Lucena | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 1 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 |
| Failed to score | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 |
Penalties
| Metric | Ceuta II | Ciudad de Lucena |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 1 | 100.00% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 0 | 1 |
Streaks
| Metric | Ceuta II | Ciudad de Lucena |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 0 | 1 |
| Draws | 2 | 0 |
| Losses | 1 | 1 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 1-0 | 0-1 | 4-1 | — |
| Biggest losses | — | 3-0 | — | 3-1 |
| Goals For | 1 | 2 | 4 | 1 |
| Goals Against | 1 | 3 | 2 | 3 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Ceuta II | Ciudad de Lucena |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 47% | 53% |
| Att | 36% | 64% |
| Def | 54% | 46% |
| Poisson Distribution | 85% | 15% |
| H2h | 75% | 25% |
| Goals | 73% | 27% |
| Total | 61.7% | 38.3% |
Advice: Double chance : Ceuta II or draw
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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
No odds available for this fixture.
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League standings
Loading standings…
Expected goals (λ): Ceuta II = 1.50 (league 1.34), Ciudad de Lucena = 0.26 (league 0.97)
| Ciudad de Lucena | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Ceuta II | 0 | 17.3% | 4.5% | 0.6% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 25.9% | 6.7% | 0.9% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 2 | 19.4% | 5.0% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 9.6% | 2.5% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 3.6% | 0.9% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 1.1% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Outcome probabilities: Home win 68.8% · Draw 24.7% · Away win 6.1%
Vtot 1 , Vtod1