Sun, Oct 26 2025 • 11:00 • Estadio Municipal Antonio Almendro
Match Finished
Expected Goals
0.88 (league 1.35) 0.69 (league 1.01)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
37.7% 35.5% 26.8%
best score tips
0 - 0
20.8%
1 - 0
18.3%
0 - 1
14.4%
Score & goals probability table
Ciudad de Lucena
0 1 2 3 4 5
Castilleja 0 20.8% 14.4% 5.0% 1.1% 0.2% 0.0%
1 18.3% 12.6% 4.4% 1.0% 0.2% 0.0%
2 8.0% 5.6% 1.9% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
3 2.4% 1.6% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
4 0.5% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricCastillejaCiudad de Lucena
Played55
Form20%67%
Attack18%100%
Defense27%55%
Goals For (tot | avg)2 | 0.412 | 2.4
Goals Against (tot | avg)8 | 1.65 | 1

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.40
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.40
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.20
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.70
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

62%
FT probability

2.5+

44%
FT probability

3.5+

31%
FT probability

BTTS

55%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

- no cards data
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Castilleja Ciudad de Lucena
HATHAT
Played347437
Wins33%0%14%100%0%57%
Draws33%25%29%0%33%14%
Loses33%75%57%0%67%29%

Form: Castilleja: DDLLLWL • Ciudad de Lucena: WLWLWDW

League goals

Metric Castilleja Ciudad de Lucena
HATHAT
GF total20213215
GF avg0.70.00.33.30.72.1
GA total358358
GA avg1.01.31.10.81.71.1

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineCastillejaCiudad de Lucena
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.514%57%86%71%
1.514%29%43%29%
2.50%29%43%14%
3.50%0%29%0%
4.50%0%14%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricCastillejaCiudad de Lucena
HATHAT
Clean sheets213202
Failed to score246011

Penalties

MetricCastillejaCiudad de Lucena
Scored (total | %)0 | 0%1 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total01

Streaks

MetricCastillejaCiudad de Lucena
Wins11
Draws21
Losses31

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins2-0—5-0—
Biggest losses0-33-0—3-1
Goals For2051
Goals Against3323

Model comparison

MetricCastillejaCiudad de Lucena
Form23%77%
Att14%86%
Def38%62%
Poisson Distribution53%47%
H2h0%100%
Goals14%86%
Total28.4%71.6%

Advice: Double chance : draw or Ciudad de Lucena

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home7.90 @ 1xBet
Draw3.87 @ Pinnacle
Away1.70 @ Betano

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.48 @ Unibet
Under 2.51.72 @ 1xBet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes2.42 @ Superbet
No1.60 @ 1xBet
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Castilleja = 0.88 (league 1.35), Ciudad de Lucena = 0.69 (league 1.01)

Ciudad de Lucena
0 1 2 3 4 5
Castilleja 0 20.8% 14.4% 5.0% 1.1% 0.2% 0.0%
1 18.3% 12.6% 4.4% 1.0% 0.2% 0.0%
2 8.0% 5.6% 1.9% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
3 2.4% 1.6% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
4 0.5% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 37.7% · Draw 35.5% · Away win 26.8%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1