Sun, Oct 26 2025 • 11:00 •
Estadio Municipal Antonio Almendro
Expected Goals
0.89 (league 1.34)
0.72 (league 0.97)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 37.2% | 35.0% | 27.8% |
best score tips
0 - 0
19.9%
1 - 0
17.7%
0 - 1
14.4%
Score & goals probability table
| Ciudad de Lucena | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Castilleja | 0 | 19.9% | 14.4% | 5.2% | 1.3% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 17.7% | 12.8% | 4.6% | 1.1% | 0.2% | 0.0% | |
| 2 | 7.9% | 5.7% | 2.1% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 2.3% | 1.7% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
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Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Castilleja | Ciudad de Lucena |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 20% | 67% |
| Attack | 12% | 71% |
| Defense | 53% | 71% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 2 | 0.4 | 12 | 2.4 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 8 | 1.6 | 5 | 1 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.40
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
1.40
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.20
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.70
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
62%
FT probability
2.5+
44%
FT probability
3.5+
31%
FT probability
BTTS
55%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
- no cards data
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Castilleja | Ciudad de Lucena | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 3 | 4 | 7 | 4 | 3 | 7 |
| Wins | 33% | 0% | 14% | 100% | 0% | 57% |
| Draws | 33% | 25% | 29% | 0% | 33% | 14% |
| Loses | 33% | 75% | 57% | 0% | 67% | 29% |
Form: Castilleja: DDLLLWL • Ciudad de Lucena: WLWLWDW
League goals
| Metric | Castilleja | Ciudad de Lucena | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 2 | 0 | 2 | 13 | 2 | 15 |
| GF avg | 0.7 | 0.0 | 0.3 | 3.3 | 0.7 | 2.1 |
| GA total | 3 | 5 | 8 | 3 | 5 | 8 |
| GA avg | 1.0 | 1.3 | 1.1 | 0.8 | 1.7 | 1.1 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Castilleja | Ciudad de Lucena | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 14% | 57% | 86% | 71% |
| 1.5 | 14% | 29% | 43% | 29% |
| 2.5 | 0% | 29% | 43% | 14% |
| 3.5 | 0% | 0% | 29% | 0% |
| 4.5 | 0% | 0% | 14% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Castilleja | Ciudad de Lucena | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 2 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 2 |
| Failed to score | 2 | 4 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 1 |
Penalties
| Metric | Castilleja | Ciudad de Lucena |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 1 | 100.00% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 0 | 1 |
Streaks
| Metric | Castilleja | Ciudad de Lucena |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 1 | 1 |
| Draws | 2 | 1 |
| Losses | 3 | 1 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 2-0 | — | 5-0 | — |
| Biggest losses | 0-3 | 3-0 | — | 3-1 |
| Goals For | 2 | 0 | 5 | 1 |
| Goals Against | 3 | 3 | 2 | 3 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Castilleja | Ciudad de Lucena |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 23% | 77% |
| Att | 14% | 86% |
| Def | 38% | 62% |
| Poisson Distribution | 53% | 47% |
| H2h | 0% | 100% |
| Goals | 14% | 86% |
| Total | 28.4% | 71.6% |
Advice: Double chance : draw or Ciudad de Lucena
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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
No odds available for this fixture.
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League standings
Loading standings…
Expected goals (λ): Castilleja = 0.89 (league 1.34), Ciudad de Lucena = 0.72 (league 0.97)
| Ciudad de Lucena | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Castilleja | 0 | 19.9% | 14.4% | 5.2% | 1.3% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 17.7% | 12.8% | 4.6% | 1.1% | 0.2% | 0.0% | |
| 2 | 7.9% | 5.7% | 2.1% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 2.3% | 1.7% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Outcome probabilities: Home win 37.2% · Draw 35.0% · Away win 27.8%
Vtot 1 , Vtod1