Sun, Nov 16 2025 • 11:00 • Estadio San Juan Bosco
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.71 (league 1.40) 0.16 (league 1.02)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
76.4% 19.8% 3.0%
best score tips
1 - 0
26.4%
2 - 0
22.6%
0 - 0
15.4%
Score & goals probability table
Castilleja
0 1 2 3 4 5
Utrera 0 15.4% 2.4% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
1 26.4% 4.2% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
2 22.6% 3.6% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
3 12.9% 2.0% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
4 5.5% 0.9% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 1.9% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricUtreraCastilleja
Played55
Form20%20%
Attack56%44%
Defense0%0%
Goals For (tot | avg)5 | 14 | 0.8
Goals Against (tot | avg)12 | 2.412 | 2.4

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

1.30
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.20
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.70
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.20
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

67%
FT probability

2.5+

47%
FT probability

3.5+

34%
FT probability

BTTS

51%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

- no cards data
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Utrera Castilleja
HATHAT
Played55105510
Wins40%0%20%20%0%10%
Draws20%0%10%20%20%20%
Loses40%100%70%60%80%70%

Form: Utrera: LLLWDLLLWL • Castilleja: DDLLLWLLLL

League goals

Metric Utrera Castilleja
HATHAT
GF total549314
GF avg1.00.80.90.60.20.4
GA total4141871219
GA avg0.82.81.81.42.41.9

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineUtreraCastilleja
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.540%80%30%70%
1.540%60%10%50%
2.510%30%0%30%
3.50%10%0%10%
4.50%0%0%10%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricUtreraCastilleja
HATHAT
Clean sheets202213
Failed to score336347

Penalties

MetricUtreraCastilleja
Scored (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total00

Streaks

MetricUtreraCastilleja
Wins11
Draws12
Losses33

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins2-0—2-0—
Biggest losses0-13-00-37-1
Goals For3221
Goals Against2437

Model comparison

MetricUtreraCastilleja
Form50%50%
Att56%44%
Def50%50%
Poisson Distribution92%8%
H2h100%0%
Goals80%20%
Total65.6%34.4%

Advice: Double chance : Utrera or draw

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home1.73 @ Betfair
Draw3.50 @ Bet365
Away5.19 @ Pinnacle

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.20 @ Bet365
Under 2.51.65 @ Bet365

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes2.05 @ William Hill
No1.75 @ Betfair
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Utrera = 1.71 (league 1.40), Castilleja = 0.16 (league 1.02)

Castilleja
0 1 2 3 4 5
Utrera 0 15.4% 2.4% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
1 26.4% 4.2% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
2 22.6% 3.6% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
3 12.9% 2.0% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
4 5.5% 0.9% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 1.9% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 76.4% · Draw 19.8% · Away win 3.0%

vtt 2 , vtd1