Sat, Nov 15 2025 • 15:15 •
Estadio Municipal Jose António Pérez Ureba
Expected Goals
2.57 (league 1.40)
1.38 (league 1.02)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 58.5% | 17.8% | 18.7% |
best score tips
2 - 1
8.8%
3 - 1
7.5%
1 - 1
6.8%
Score & goals probability table
| Ceuta II | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Conil | 0 | 1.9% | 2.7% | 1.8% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| 1 | 4.9% | 6.8% | 4.7% | 2.2% | 0.7% | 0.2% | |
| 2 | 6.4% | 8.8% | 6.1% | 2.8% | 1.0% | 0.3% | |
| 3 | 5.5% | 7.5% | 5.2% | 2.4% | 0.8% | 0.2% | |
| 4 | 3.5% | 4.8% | 3.3% | 1.5% | 0.5% | 0.1% | |
| 5 | 1.8% | 2.5% | 1.7% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.1% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
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Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Conil | Ceuta II |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 67% | 53% |
| Attack | 100% | 89% |
| Defense | 44% | 22% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 9 | 1.8 | 8 | 1.6 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 5 | 1 | 7 | 1.4 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.60
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
3.20
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.70
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
3.00
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
82%
FT probability
2.5+
58%
FT probability
3.5+
41%
FT probability
BTTS
73%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
- no cards data
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Conil | Ceuta II | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 5 | 5 | 10 | 5 | 5 | 10 |
| Wins | 60% | 20% | 40% | 60% | 20% | 40% |
| Draws | 20% | 20% | 20% | 40% | 40% | 40% |
| Loses | 20% | 60% | 40% | 0% | 40% | 20% |
Form: Conil: LDLLWWLWWD • Ceuta II: LDDWWDDWLW
League goals
| Metric | Conil | Ceuta II | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 9 | 4 | 13 | 6 | 7 | 13 |
| GF avg | 1.8 | 0.8 | 1.3 | 1.2 | 1.4 | 1.3 |
| GA total | 5 | 9 | 14 | 3 | 10 | 13 |
| GA avg | 1.0 | 1.8 | 1.4 | 0.6 | 2.0 | 1.3 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Conil | Ceuta II | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 70% | 80% | 90% | 70% |
| 1.5 | 40% | 40% | 40% | 40% |
| 2.5 | 10% | 10% | 0% | 20% |
| 3.5 | 10% | 10% | 0% | 0% |
| 4.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Conil | Ceuta II | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 2 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 3 |
| Failed to score | 1 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 1 |
Penalties
| Metric | Conil | Ceuta II |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 0 | 0 |
Streaks
| Metric | Conil | Ceuta II |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 2 | 2 |
| Draws | 1 | 2 |
| Losses | 2 | 1 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 4-2 | 1-2 | 2-1 | 0-1 |
| Biggest losses | 0-2 | 4-1 | — | 3-0 |
| Goals For | 4 | 2 | 2 | 2 |
| Goals Against | 2 | 4 | 1 | 3 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Conil | Ceuta II |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 56% | 44% |
| Att | 53% | 47% |
| Def | 58% | 42% |
| Poisson Distribution | 65% | 35% |
| H2h | 29% | 71% |
| Goals | 44% | 56% |
| Total | 50.8% | 49.2% |
Advice: Double chance : Conil or draw
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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
No odds available for this fixture.
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League standings
Loading standings…
Expected goals (λ): Conil = 2.57 (league 1.40), Ceuta II = 1.38 (league 1.02)
| Ceuta II | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Conil | 0 | 1.9% | 2.7% | 1.8% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| 1 | 4.9% | 6.8% | 4.7% | 2.2% | 0.7% | 0.2% | |
| 2 | 6.4% | 8.8% | 6.1% | 2.8% | 1.0% | 0.3% | |
| 3 | 5.5% | 7.5% | 5.2% | 2.4% | 0.8% | 0.2% | |
| 4 | 3.5% | 4.8% | 3.3% | 1.5% | 0.5% | 0.1% | |
| 5 | 1.8% | 2.5% | 1.7% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.1% | |
Outcome probabilities: Home win 58.5% · Draw 17.8% · Away win 18.7%
vtt 1 , vtd1