Sun, Nov 23 2025 • 11:00 •
Estadio Municipal Antonio Almendro
Expected Goals
0.51 (league 1.40)
1.11 (league 1.01)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 17.0% | 32.7% | 50.2% |
best score tips
0 - 1
21.9%
0 - 0
19.7%
0 - 2
12.1%
Score & goals probability table
| Atlético Central | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Castilleja | 0 | 19.7% | 21.9% | 12.1% | 4.5% | 1.2% | 0.3% |
| 1 | 10.1% | 11.2% | 6.2% | 2.3% | 0.6% | 0.1% | |
| 2 | 2.6% | 2.9% | 1.6% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
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Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Castilleja | Atlético Central |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 7% | 60% |
| Attack | 44% | 100% |
| Defense | 0% | 22% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 4 | 0.8 | 10 | 2 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 14 | 2.8 | 7 | 1.4 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.00
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
1.40
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
3.10
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.60
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
65%
FT probability
2.5+
46%
FT probability
3.5+
33%
FT probability
BTTS
56%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
- no cards data
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Castilleja | Atlético Central | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 5 | 6 | 11 | 6 | 5 | 11 |
| Wins | 20% | 0% | 9% | 67% | 20% | 45% |
| Draws | 20% | 33% | 27% | 17% | 40% | 27% |
| Loses | 60% | 67% | 64% | 17% | 40% | 27% |
Form: Castilleja: DDLLLWLLLLD • Atlético Central: LWDWDDWWLLW
League goals
| Metric | Castilleja | Atlético Central | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 3 | 3 | 6 | 12 | 4 | 16 |
| GF avg | 0.6 | 0.5 | 0.5 | 2.0 | 0.8 | 1.5 |
| GA total | 7 | 14 | 21 | 7 | 6 | 13 |
| GA avg | 1.4 | 2.3 | 1.9 | 1.2 | 1.2 | 1.2 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Castilleja | Atlético Central | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 36% | 73% | 82% | 55% |
| 1.5 | 18% | 55% | 45% | 27% |
| 2.5 | 0% | 27% | 18% | 18% |
| 3.5 | 0% | 9% | 0% | 9% |
| 4.5 | 0% | 9% | 0% | 9% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Castilleja | Atlético Central | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 2 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 5 |
| Failed to score | 3 | 4 | 7 | 0 | 2 | 2 |
Penalties
| Metric | Castilleja | Atlético Central |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 0 | 0 |
Streaks
| Metric | Castilleja | Atlético Central |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 1 | 2 |
| Draws | 2 | 2 |
| Losses | 4 | 2 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 2-0 | — | 3-0 | 0-2 |
| Biggest losses | 0-3 | 7-1 | 2-5 | 3-0 |
| Goals For | 2 | 2 | 3 | 2 |
| Goals Against | 3 | 7 | 5 | 3 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Castilleja | Atlético Central |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 10% | 90% |
| Att | 29% | 71% |
| Def | 33% | 67% |
| Poisson Distribution | 32% | 68% |
| H2h | 0% | 0% |
| Goals | 0% | 0% |
| Total | 26.0% | 74.0% |
Advice: Double chance : draw or Atlético Central
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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
No odds available for this fixture.
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League standings
Loading standings…
Expected goals (λ): Castilleja = 0.51 (league 1.40), Atlético Central = 1.11 (league 1.01)
| Atlético Central | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Castilleja | 0 | 19.7% | 21.9% | 12.1% | 4.5% | 1.2% | 0.3% |
| 1 | 10.1% | 11.2% | 6.2% | 2.3% | 0.6% | 0.1% | |
| 2 | 2.6% | 2.9% | 1.6% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Outcome probabilities: Home win 17.0% · Draw 32.7% · Away win 50.2%
vtt 1 , vtd1