Wed, Jan 7 2026 • 12:00 •
Estadio Municipal Alfonso Murube
Expected Goals
2.06 (league 1.40)
0.30 (league 1.02)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 77.6% | 16.2% | 4.3% |
best score tips
2 - 0
20.1%
1 - 0
19.6%
3 - 0
13.8%
Score & goals probability table
| Tomares | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Ceuta II | 0 | 9.5% | 2.8% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 19.6% | 5.8% | 0.9% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 2 | 20.1% | 5.9% | 0.9% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 13.8% | 4.1% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 7.1% | 2.1% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 2.9% | 0.9% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
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Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Ceuta II | Tomares |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 60% | 47% |
| Attack | 47% | 47% |
| Defense | 59% | 71% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 8 | 1.6 | 8 | 1.6 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 7 | 1.4 | 5 | 1 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.30
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.10
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.80
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.40
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
69%
FT probability
2.5+
48%
FT probability
3.5+
34%
FT probability
BTTS
66%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
- no cards data
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Ceuta II | Tomares | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 7 | 8 | 15 | 9 | 6 | 15 |
| Wins | 71% | 25% | 47% | 22% | 17% | 20% |
| Draws | 29% | 25% | 27% | 33% | 17% | 27% |
| Loses | 0% | 50% | 27% | 44% | 67% | 53% |
Form: Ceuta II: LDDWWDDWLWWWLWL • Tomares: DLDLLDWLLLLWLDW
League goals
| Metric | Ceuta II | Tomares | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 11 | 10 | 21 | 10 | 3 | 13 |
| GF avg | 1.6 | 1.3 | 1.4 | 1.1 | 0.5 | 0.9 |
| GA total | 4 | 16 | 20 | 12 | 11 | 23 |
| GA avg | 0.6 | 2.0 | 1.3 | 1.3 | 1.8 | 1.5 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Ceuta II | Tomares | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 87% | 67% | 40% | 80% |
| 1.5 | 47% | 40% | 20% | 47% |
| 2.5 | 7% | 27% | 13% | 27% |
| 3.5 | 0% | 0% | 7% | 0% |
| 4.5 | 0% | 0% | 7% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Ceuta II | Tomares | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 3 | 2 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 3 |
| Failed to score | 0 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 4 | 9 |
Penalties
| Metric | Ceuta II | Tomares |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 0 | 0 |
Streaks
| Metric | Ceuta II | Tomares |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 3 | 1 |
| Draws | 2 | 1 |
| Losses | 1 | 4 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 3-1 | 0-2 | 5-0 | 1-2 |
| Biggest losses | — | 3-0 | 0-3 | 3-0 |
| Goals For | 3 | 2 | 5 | 2 |
| Goals Against | 1 | 3 | 3 | 3 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Ceuta II | Tomares |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 56% | 44% |
| Att | 50% | 50% |
| Def | 42% | 58% |
| Poisson Distribution | 87% | 13% |
| H2h | 80% | 20% |
| Goals | 73% | 27% |
| Total | 64.7% | 35.3% |
Advice: Double chance : Ceuta II or draw
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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
No odds available for this fixture.
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League standings
Loading standings…
Expected goals (λ): Ceuta II = 2.06 (league 1.40), Tomares = 0.30 (league 1.02)
| Tomares | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Ceuta II | 0 | 9.5% | 2.8% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 19.6% | 5.8% | 0.9% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 2 | 20.1% | 5.9% | 0.9% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 13.8% | 4.1% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 7.1% | 2.1% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 2.9% | 0.9% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Outcome probabilities: Home win 77.6% · Draw 16.2% · Away win 4.3%
vtt 3 , vtd1