Sat, Dec 20 2025 • 17:00 •
Estadio Municipal San Sebastián
Expected Goals
0.35 (league 1.40)
1.00 (league 1.02)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 12.7% | 35.7% | 51.5% |
best score tips
0 - 1
25.9%
0 - 0
25.8%
0 - 2
13.0%
Score & goals probability table
| Ciudad de Lucena | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Tomares | 0 | 25.8% | 25.9% | 13.0% | 4.4% | 1.1% | 0.2% |
| 1 | 9.0% | 9.1% | 4.6% | 1.5% | 0.4% | 0.1% | |
| 2 | 1.6% | 1.6% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
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Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Tomares | Ciudad de Lucena |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 20% | 60% |
| Attack | 27% | 27% |
| Defense | 9% | 100% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 3 | 0.6 | 3 | 0.6 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 10 | 2 | 0 | 0 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.10
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
1.30
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.40
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.40
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
59%
FT probability
2.5+
41%
FT probability
3.5+
29%
FT probability
BTTS
54%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
- no cards data
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Tomares | Ciudad de Lucena | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 7 | 6 | 13 | 7 | 7 | 14 |
| Wins | 14% | 17% | 15% | 86% | 14% | 50% |
| Draws | 29% | 17% | 23% | 14% | 57% | 36% |
| Loses | 57% | 67% | 62% | 0% | 29% | 14% |
Form: Tomares: DLDLLDWLLLLWL • Ciudad de Lucena: WLWLWDWWDDWDWD
League goals
| Metric | Tomares | Ciudad de Lucena | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 5 | 3 | 8 | 17 | 4 | 21 |
| GF avg | 0.7 | 0.5 | 0.6 | 2.4 | 0.6 | 1.5 |
| GA total | 12 | 11 | 23 | 4 | 5 | 9 |
| GA avg | 1.7 | 1.8 | 1.8 | 0.6 | 0.7 | 0.6 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Tomares | Ciudad de Lucena | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 38% | 92% | 71% | 43% |
| 1.5 | 15% | 54% | 36% | 14% |
| 2.5 | 8% | 31% | 21% | 7% |
| 3.5 | 0% | 0% | 14% | 0% |
| 4.5 | 0% | 0% | 7% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Tomares | Ciudad de Lucena | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 4 | 8 |
| Failed to score | 4 | 4 | 8 | 0 | 4 | 4 |
Penalties
| Metric | Tomares | Ciudad de Lucena |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 1 | 100.00% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 0 | 1 |
Streaks
| Metric | Tomares | Ciudad de Lucena |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 1 | 2 |
| Draws | 1 | 2 |
| Losses | 4 | 1 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 3-1 | 1-2 | 5-0 | 0-2 |
| Biggest losses | 0-3 | 3-0 | — | 3-1 |
| Goals For | 3 | 2 | 5 | 2 |
| Goals Against | 3 | 3 | 2 | 3 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Tomares | Ciudad de Lucena |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 25% | 75% |
| Att | 50% | 50% |
| Def | 0% | 100% |
| Poisson Distribution | 28% | 72% |
| H2h | 0% | 100% |
| Goals | 9% | 91% |
| Total | 28.0% | 72.0% |
Advice: Combo Double chance : draw or Ciudad de Lucena and -3.5 goals
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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
No odds available for this fixture.
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League standings
Loading standings…
Expected goals (λ): Tomares = 0.35 (league 1.40), Ciudad de Lucena = 1.00 (league 1.02)
| Ciudad de Lucena | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Tomares | 0 | 25.8% | 25.9% | 13.0% | 4.4% | 1.1% | 0.2% |
| 1 | 9.0% | 9.1% | 4.6% | 1.5% | 0.4% | 0.1% | |
| 2 | 1.6% | 1.6% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Outcome probabilities: Home win 12.7% · Draw 35.7% · Away win 51.5%
vtt 1 , vtd1