Sat, Jan 3 2026 • 12:30 •
Estadio Municipal Antonio Almendro
Expected Goals
0.81 (league 1.40)
1.66 (league 1.02)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 18.2% | 24.2% | 56.9% |
best score tips
0 - 1
14.0%
0 - 2
11.6%
1 - 1
11.4%
Score & goals probability table
| Ceuta II | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Castilleja | 0 | 8.4% | 14.0% | 11.6% | 6.4% | 2.7% | 0.9% |
| 1 | 6.8% | 11.4% | 9.5% | 5.2% | 2.2% | 0.7% | |
| 2 | 2.8% | 4.6% | 3.9% | 2.1% | 0.9% | 0.3% | |
| 3 | 0.8% | 1.3% | 1.0% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.1% | |
| 4 | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
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Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Castilleja | Ceuta II |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 40% | 80% |
| Attack | 64% | 82% |
| Defense | 45% | 55% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 7 | 1.4 | 9 | 1.8 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 6 | 1.2 | 5 | 1 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.10
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
1.90
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.90
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
3.20
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
72%
FT probability
2.5+
51%
FT probability
3.5+
36%
FT probability
BTTS
63%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
- no cards data
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Castilleja | Ceuta II | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 7 | 8 | 15 | 7 | 7 | 14 |
| Wins | 14% | 13% | 13% | 71% | 29% | 50% |
| Draws | 29% | 38% | 33% | 29% | 29% | 29% |
| Loses | 57% | 50% | 53% | 0% | 43% | 21% |
Form: Castilleja: DDLLLWLLLLDLDDW • Ceuta II: LDDWWDDWLWWWLW
League goals
| Metric | Castilleja | Ceuta II | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 4 | 7 | 11 | 11 | 9 | 20 |
| GF avg | 0.6 | 0.9 | 0.7 | 1.6 | 1.3 | 1.4 |
| GA total | 9 | 16 | 25 | 4 | 13 | 17 |
| GA avg | 1.3 | 2.0 | 1.7 | 0.6 | 1.9 | 1.2 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Castilleja | Ceuta II | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 47% | 73% | 86% | 64% |
| 1.5 | 27% | 47% | 50% | 36% |
| 2.5 | 0% | 20% | 7% | 21% |
| 3.5 | 0% | 7% | 0% | 0% |
| 4.5 | 0% | 7% | 0% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Castilleja | Ceuta II | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 2 | 2 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 5 |
| Failed to score | 4 | 4 | 8 | 0 | 2 | 2 |
Penalties
| Metric | Castilleja | Ceuta II |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 0 | 0 |
Streaks
| Metric | Castilleja | Ceuta II |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 1 | 3 |
| Draws | 2 | 2 |
| Losses | 4 | 1 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 2-0 | 0-2 | 3-1 | 0-2 |
| Biggest losses | 0-3 | 7-1 | — | 3-0 |
| Goals For | 2 | 2 | 3 | 2 |
| Goals Against | 3 | 7 | 1 | 3 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Castilleja | Ceuta II |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 33% | 67% |
| Att | 44% | 56% |
| Def | 45% | 55% |
| Poisson Distribution | 32% | 68% |
| H2h | 0% | 0% |
| Goals | 0% | 0% |
| Total | 38.5% | 61.5% |
Advice: Double chance : draw or Ceuta II
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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
No odds available for this fixture.
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League standings
Loading standings…
Expected goals (λ): Castilleja = 0.81 (league 1.40), Ceuta II = 1.66 (league 1.02)
| Ceuta II | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Castilleja | 0 | 8.4% | 14.0% | 11.6% | 6.4% | 2.7% | 0.9% |
| 1 | 6.8% | 11.4% | 9.5% | 5.2% | 2.2% | 0.7% | |
| 2 | 2.8% | 4.6% | 3.9% | 2.1% | 0.9% | 0.3% | |
| 3 | 0.8% | 1.3% | 1.0% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.1% | |
| 4 | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Outcome probabilities: Home win 18.2% · Draw 24.2% · Away win 56.9%
vtt 1 , vtd1