Sun, Feb 1 2026 • 12:30 • Estadio Municipal Antonio Almendro
Match Finished
Expected Goals
0.65 (league 1.39) 1.09 (league 1.01)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
21.7% 32.4% 45.8%
best score tips
0 - 1
19.2%
0 - 0
17.6%
1 - 1
12.4%
Score & goals probability table
Pozoblanco
0 1 2 3 4 5
Castilleja 0 17.6% 19.2% 10.4% 3.8% 1.0% 0.2%
1 11.4% 12.4% 6.8% 2.5% 0.7% 0.1%
2 3.7% 4.0% 2.2% 0.8% 0.2% 0.0%
3 0.8% 0.9% 0.5% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
4 0.1% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricCastillejaPozoblanco
Played55
Form67%60%
Attack64%64%
Defense64%55%
Goals For (tot | avg)7 | 1.47 | 1.4
Goals Against (tot | avg)4 | 0.85 | 1

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.10
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.90
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.70
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.10
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

63%
FT probability

2.5+

44%
FT probability

3.5+

31%
FT probability

BTTS

59%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

- no cards data
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Castilleja Pozoblanco
HATHAT
Played9101991019
Wins33%10%21%33%40%37%
Draws22%40%32%44%30%37%
Loses44%50%47%22%30%26%

Form: Castilleja: DDLLLWLLLLDLDDWWDWL • Pozoblanco: WWWDWDLWLDDLLLDDWWD

League goals

Metric Castilleja Pozoblanco
HATHAT
GF total8816151025
GF avg0.90.80.81.71.01.3
GA total101929121022
GA avg1.11.91.51.31.01.2

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineCastillejaPozoblanco
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.553%74%74%63%
1.526%42%37%37%
2.55%16%21%11%
3.50%5%0%5%
4.50%5%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricCastillejaPozoblanco
HATHAT
Clean sheets325347
Failed to score459145

Penalties

MetricCastillejaPozoblanco
Scored (total | %)0 | 0%1 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total01

Streaks

MetricCastillejaPozoblanco
Wins23
Draws22
Losses43

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins3-10-23-00-3
Biggest losses0-37-13-43-0
Goals For3233
Goals Against3743

Model comparison

MetricCastillejaPozoblanco
Form53%47%
Att50%50%
Def56%44%
Poisson Distribution35%65%
H2h0%100%
Goals20%80%
Total42.8%57.2%

Advice: Double chance : draw or Pozoblanco

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.51 @ Pinnacle
Draw3.25 @ Bet365
Away2.87 @ Pinnacle

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.20 @ 10Bet
Under 2.51.70 @ Bet365

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.87 @ Unibet
No1.95 @ William Hill
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Castilleja = 0.65 (league 1.39), Pozoblanco = 1.09 (league 1.01)

Pozoblanco
0 1 2 3 4 5
Castilleja 0 17.6% 19.2% 10.4% 3.8% 1.0% 0.2%
1 11.4% 12.4% 6.8% 2.5% 0.7% 0.1%
2 3.7% 4.0% 2.2% 0.8% 0.2% 0.0%
3 0.8% 0.9% 0.5% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
4 0.1% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 21.7% · Draw 32.4% · Away win 45.8%

vtt 1 , vtd1