Wed, Feb 25 2026 • 18:15 • Estadio Ciudad de Lucena
Match Finished
Expected Goals
2.41 (league 1.39) 0.54 (league 1.02)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
75.3% 14.6% 6.5%
best score tips
2 - 0
15.2%
1 - 0
12.6%
3 - 0
12.2%
Score & goals probability table
Chiclana
0 1 2 3 4 5
Ciudad de Lucena 0 5.2% 2.8% 0.8% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
1 12.6% 6.8% 1.8% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0%
2 15.2% 8.2% 2.2% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
3 12.2% 6.6% 1.8% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0%
4 7.4% 4.0% 1.1% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
5 3.5% 1.9% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricCiudad de LucenaChiclana
Played55
Form60%40%
Attack100%88%
Defense25%0%
Goals For (tot | avg)11 | 2.27 | 1.4
Goals Against (tot | avg)6 | 1.28 | 1.6

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.10
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.50
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.10
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.90
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

76%
FT probability

2.5+

53%
FT probability

3.5+

38%
FT probability

BTTS

71%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

- no cards data
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Ciudad de Lucena Chiclana
HATHAT
Played101222111021
Wins90%25%55%55%20%38%
Draws10%42%27%18%50%33%
Loses0%33%18%27%30%29%

Form: Ciudad de Lucena: WLWLWDWWDDWDWDDWWLWLWW • Chiclana: WLLWDDWLLWWLWDWDWLDDD

League goals

Metric Ciudad de Lucena Chiclana
HATHAT
GF total241539171128
GF avg2.41.31.81.51.11.3
GA total51217131427
GA avg0.51.00.81.21.41.3

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineCiudad de LucenaChiclana
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.577%45%81%81%
1.550%23%38%33%
2.527%9%10%10%
3.518%0%5%5%
4.55%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricCiudad de LucenaChiclana
HATHAT
Clean sheets6612314
Failed to score055314

Penalties

MetricCiudad de LucenaChiclana
Scored (total | %)1 | 50.00%2 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)1 | 50.00%0 | 0%
Total22

Streaks

MetricCiudad de LucenaChiclana
Wins22
Draws22
Losses12

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins5-00-44-11-2
Biggest losses—3-12-43-1
Goals For5442
Goals Against2343

Model comparison

MetricCiudad de LucenaChiclana
Form60%40%
Att61%39%
Def57%43%
Poisson Distribution81%19%
H2h0%100%
Goals25%75%
Total56.8%43.2%

Advice: Winner : Ciudad de Lucena

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home1.44 @ Betfair
Draw4.29 @ Pinnacle
Away8.80 @ 1xBet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.95 @ Bet365
Under 2.51.85 @ Bet365

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes2.18 @ Marathonbet
No1.62 @ William Hill
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Ciudad de Lucena = 2.41 (league 1.39), Chiclana = 0.54 (league 1.02)

Chiclana
0 1 2 3 4 5
Ciudad de Lucena 0 5.2% 2.8% 0.8% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
1 12.6% 6.8% 1.8% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0%
2 15.2% 8.2% 2.2% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
3 12.2% 6.6% 1.8% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0%
4 7.4% 4.0% 1.1% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
5 3.5% 1.9% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 75.3% · Draw 14.6% · Away win 6.5%

vtt 1 , vtd1