Wed, Mar 11 2026 • 12:30 •
Ciudad Deportiva José Ramón Cisneros - Campo 4
Expected Goals
2.26 (league 1.39)
0.89 (league 1.02)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 65.7% | 18.3% | 13.2% |
best score tips
2 - 0
11.0%
2 - 1
9.7%
1 - 0
9.7%
Score & goals probability table
| Ceuta II | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Sevilla III | 0 | 4.3% | 3.8% | 1.7% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 9.7% | 8.6% | 3.8% | 1.1% | 0.2% | 0.0% | |
| 2 | 11.0% | 9.7% | 4.3% | 1.3% | 0.3% | 0.1% | |
| 3 | 8.3% | 7.3% | 3.3% | 1.0% | 0.2% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 4.7% | 4.2% | 1.8% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 2.1% | 1.9% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
🔮
Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Sevilla III | Ceuta II |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 53% | 47% |
| Attack | 50% | 29% |
| Defense | 79% | 57% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 7 | 1.4 | 4 | 0.8 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 3 | 0.6 | 6 | 1.2 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.20
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.40
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.60
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
3.10
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
74%
FT probability
2.5+
52%
FT probability
3.5+
37%
FT probability
BTTS
66%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
0 - 0 cards
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Sevilla III | Ceuta II | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 11 | 13 | 24 | 13 | 11 | 24 |
| Wins | 55% | 15% | 33% | 62% | 18% | 42% |
| Draws | 18% | 15% | 17% | 31% | 18% | 25% |
| Loses | 27% | 69% | 50% | 8% | 64% | 33% |
Form: Sevilla III: WWLLDLLLLLWWLWLWLLDDDWLW • Ceuta II: LDDWWDDWLWWWLWLWDLLWDLWL
League goals
| Metric | Sevilla III | Ceuta II | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 17 | 10 | 27 | 17 | 10 | 27 |
| GF avg | 1.5 | 0.8 | 1.1 | 1.3 | 0.9 | 1.1 |
| GA total | 11 | 19 | 30 | 7 | 23 | 30 |
| GA avg | 1.0 | 1.5 | 1.3 | 0.5 | 2.1 | 1.3 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Sevilla III | Ceuta II | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 63% | 75% | 71% | 67% |
| 1.5 | 38% | 38% | 38% | 38% |
| 2.5 | 13% | 13% | 4% | 21% |
| 3.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| 4.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Sevilla III | Ceuta II | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 4 | 2 | 6 | 6 | 2 | 8 |
| Failed to score | 2 | 7 | 9 | 2 | 5 | 7 |
Penalties
| Metric | Sevilla III | Ceuta II |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 4 | 100.00% | 0 | 0% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 4 | 0 |
Streaks
| Metric | Sevilla III | Ceuta II |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 2 | 3 |
| Draws | 3 | 2 |
| Losses | 5 | 2 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 3-0 | 1-3 | 3-1 | 0-2 |
| Biggest losses | 0-2 | 3-0 | 0-1 | 3-0 |
| Goals For | 3 | 3 | 3 | 2 |
| Goals Against | 3 | 3 | 1 | 3 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Sevilla III | Ceuta II |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 53% | 47% |
| Att | 64% | 36% |
| Def | 67% | 33% |
| Poisson Distribution | 71% | 29% |
| H2h | 60% | 40% |
| Goals | 71% | 29% |
| Total | 64.3% | 35.7% |
Advice: Double chance : Sevilla III or draw
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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
No odds available for this fixture.
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League standings
Loading standings…
Expected goals (λ): Sevilla III = 2.26 (league 1.39), Ceuta II = 0.89 (league 1.02)
| Ceuta II | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Sevilla III | 0 | 4.3% | 3.8% | 1.7% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 9.7% | 8.6% | 3.8% | 1.1% | 0.2% | 0.0% | |
| 2 | 11.0% | 9.7% | 4.3% | 1.3% | 0.3% | 0.1% | |
| 3 | 8.3% | 7.3% | 3.3% | 1.0% | 0.2% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 4.7% | 4.2% | 1.8% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 2.1% | 1.9% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
Outcome probabilities: Home win 65.7% · Draw 18.3% · Away win 13.2%
vtt 8 , vtd1