Sat, Feb 21 2026 • 15:30 •
Estadio Ciudad de Lucena
Expected Goals
3.45 (league 1.39)
0.66 (league 1.00)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 74.6% | 8.1% | 3.7% |
best score tips
3 - 0
11.2%
2 - 0
9.8%
4 - 0
9.7%
Score & goals probability table
| Ceuta II | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Ciudad de Lucena | 0 | 1.6% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 5.7% | 3.7% | 1.2% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 2 | 9.8% | 6.4% | 2.1% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 11.2% | 7.4% | 2.4% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 9.7% | 6.4% | 2.1% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 6.7% | 4.4% | 1.5% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
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Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Ciudad de Lucena | Ceuta II |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 60% | 33% |
| Attack | 100% | 23% |
| Defense | 38% | 69% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 13 | 2.6 | 3 | 0.6 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 8 | 1.6 | 4 | 0.8 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
3.00
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
3.50
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.00
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.60
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
79%
FT probability
2.5+
56%
FT probability
3.5+
40%
FT probability
BTTS
67%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
na
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Ciudad de Lucena | Ceuta II | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 9 | 12 | 21 | 12 | 9 | 21 |
| Wins | 89% | 25% | 52% | 58% | 22% | 43% |
| Draws | 11% | 42% | 29% | 33% | 22% | 29% |
| Loses | 0% | 33% | 19% | 8% | 56% | 29% |
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Ceuta IILDDWWDDWLWWWLWLWDLLWD
League goals
| Metric | Ciudad de Lucena | Ceuta II | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 22 | 15 | 37 | 16 | 10 | 26 |
| GF avg | 2.4 | 1.3 | 1.8 | 1.3 | 1.1 | 1.2 |
| GA total | 5 | 12 | 17 | 7 | 18 | 25 |
| GA avg | 0.6 | 1.0 | 0.8 | 0.6 | 2.0 | 1.2 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Ciudad de Lucena | Ceuta II | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 76% | 48% | 76% | 67% |
| 1.5 | 48% | 24% | 43% | 33% |
| 2.5 | 29% | 10% | 5% | 19% |
| 3.5 | 19% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| 4.5 | 5% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Ciudad de Lucena | Ceuta II | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 5 | 6 | 11 | 5 | 2 | 7 |
| Failed to score | 0 | 5 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 5 |
Penalties
| Metric | Ciudad de Lucena | Ceuta II |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 1 | 50.00% | 0 | 0% |
| Missed (total | %) | 1 | 50.00% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 2 | 0 |
Streaks
| Metric | Ciudad de Lucena | Ceuta II |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 2 | 3 |
| Draws | 2 | 2 |
| Losses | 1 | 2 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 5-0 | 0-4 | 3-1 | 0-2 |
| Biggest losses | — | 3-1 | 0-1 | 3-0 |
| Goals For | 5 | 4 | 3 | 2 |
| Goals Against | 2 | 3 | 1 | 3 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Ciudad de Lucena | Ceuta II |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 64% | 36% |
| Att | 81% | 19% |
| Def | 33% | 67% |
| Poisson Distribution | 85% | 15% |
| H2h | 25% | 75% |
| Goals | 27% | 73% |
| Total | 52.5% | 47.5% |
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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
No odds available for this fixture.
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League standings
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