Sat, Feb 28 2026 • 11:00 • Estadio Municipal Antonio Almendro
Match Finished
Expected Goals
0.69 (league 1.40) 1.53 (league 1.02)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
16.7% 25.7% 57.1%
best score tips
0 - 1
16.7%
0 - 2
12.8%
1 - 1
11.4%
Score & goals probability table
Bollullos
0 1 2 3 4 5
Castilleja 0 10.9% 16.7% 12.8% 6.5% 2.5% 0.8%
1 7.5% 11.4% 8.8% 4.5% 1.7% 0.5%
2 2.6% 3.9% 3.0% 1.5% 0.6% 0.2%
3 0.6% 0.9% 0.7% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
4 0.1% 0.2% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricCastillejaBollullos
Played55
Form27%20%
Attack18%27%
Defense36%45%
Goals For (tot | avg)2 | 0.43 | 0.6
Goals Against (tot | avg)7 | 1.46 | 1.2

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.10
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.10
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.40
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.40
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

64%
FT probability

2.5+

45%
FT probability

3.5+

32%
FT probability

BTTS

62%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

0 - 0 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Castilleja Bollullos
HATHAT
Played111122101121
Wins27%9%18%50%45%48%
Draws27%36%32%40%18%29%
Loses45%55%50%10%36%24%

Form: Castilleja: DDLLLWLLLLDLDDWWDWLLDL • Bollullos: WDWWLWWWWWDLWDLWLLDDD

League goals

Metric Castilleja Bollullos
HATHAT
GF total9817131427
GF avg0.80.70.81.31.31.3
GA total13213451318
GA avg1.21.91.50.51.20.9

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineCastillejaBollullos
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.550%77%71%62%
1.523%45%33%14%
2.55%14%19%10%
3.50%5%5%0%
4.50%5%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricCastillejaBollullos
HATHAT
Clean sheets325538
Failed to score5611336

Penalties

MetricCastillejaBollullos
Scored (total | %)0 | 0%2 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total02

Streaks

MetricCastillejaBollullos
Wins25
Draws21
Losses42

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins3-10-23-01-4
Biggest losses0-37-10-13-0
Goals For3234
Goals Against3713

Model comparison

MetricCastillejaBollullos
Form57%43%
Att40%60%
Def46%54%
Poisson Distribution31%69%
H2h0%100%
Goals0%100%
Total43.5%56.5%

Advice: Combo Double chance : draw or Bollullos and -3.5 goals

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

No odds available for this fixture.

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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Castilleja = 0.69 (league 1.40), Bollullos = 1.53 (league 1.02)

Bollullos
0 1 2 3 4 5
Castilleja 0 10.9% 16.7% 12.8% 6.5% 2.5% 0.8%
1 7.5% 11.4% 8.8% 4.5% 1.7% 0.5%
2 2.6% 3.9% 3.0% 1.5% 0.6% 0.2%
3 0.6% 0.9% 0.7% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
4 0.1% 0.2% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 16.7% · Draw 25.7% · Away win 57.1%

vtt 1 , vtd1