Sat, Feb 28 2026 • 16:15 •
Estadio Municipal Alfonso Murube
Expected Goals
1.03 (league 1.39)
0.59 (league 1.01)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 45.4% | 33.7% | 20.8% |
best score tips
1 - 0
20.3%
0 - 0
19.7%
1 - 1
12.1%
Score & goals probability table
| Cádiz II | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Ceuta II | 0 | 19.7% | 11.7% | 3.5% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 20.3% | 12.1% | 3.6% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 2 | 10.5% | 6.2% | 1.8% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 3.6% | 2.1% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 0.9% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
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Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Ceuta II | Cádiz II |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 27% | 47% |
| Attack | 30% | 60% |
| Defense | 40% | 30% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 3 | 0.6 | 6 | 1.2 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 6 | 1.2 | 7 | 1.4 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.60
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.30
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.40
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
1.70
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
64%
FT probability
2.5+
45%
FT probability
3.5+
32%
FT probability
BTTS
63%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
- no cards data
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Ceuta II | Cádiz II | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 12 | 10 | 22 | 12 | 11 | 23 |
| Wins | 58% | 20% | 41% | 42% | 45% | 43% |
| Draws | 33% | 20% | 27% | 33% | 18% | 26% |
| Loses | 8% | 60% | 32% | 25% | 36% | 30% |
Form: Ceuta II: LDDWWDDWLWWWLWLWDLLWDL • Cádiz II: WWDWDDDWWWDWLLWLLLWLLDW
League goals
| Metric | Ceuta II | Cádiz II | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 16 | 10 | 26 | 22 | 11 | 33 |
| GF avg | 1.3 | 1.0 | 1.2 | 1.8 | 1.0 | 1.4 |
| GA total | 7 | 20 | 27 | 15 | 12 | 27 |
| GA avg | 0.6 | 2.0 | 1.2 | 1.3 | 1.1 | 1.2 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Ceuta II | Cádiz II | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 73% | 68% | 65% | 70% |
| 1.5 | 41% | 36% | 43% | 30% |
| 2.5 | 5% | 18% | 17% | 13% |
| 3.5 | 0% | 0% | 4% | 4% |
| 4.5 | 0% | 0% | 4% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Ceuta II | Cádiz II | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 5 | 2 | 7 | 2 | 5 | 7 |
| Failed to score | 2 | 4 | 6 | 4 | 4 | 8 |
Penalties
| Metric | Ceuta II | Cádiz II |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 1 | 100.00% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 0 | 1 |
Streaks
| Metric | Ceuta II | Cádiz II |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 3 | 3 |
| Draws | 2 | 3 |
| Losses | 2 | 3 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 3-1 | 0-2 | 7-1 | 0-2 |
| Biggest losses | 0-1 | 3-0 | 0-4 | 3-0 |
| Goals For | 3 | 2 | 7 | 2 |
| Goals Against | 1 | 3 | 4 | 3 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Ceuta II | Cádiz II |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 36% | 64% |
| Att | 33% | 67% |
| Def | 54% | 46% |
| Poisson Distribution | 64% | 36% |
| H2h | 50% | 50% |
| Goals | 50% | 50% |
| Total | 47.8% | 52.2% |
Advice: Combo Double chance : draw or Cádiz II and -3.5 goals
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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
No odds available for this fixture.
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League standings
Loading standings…
Expected goals (λ): Ceuta II = 1.03 (league 1.39), Cádiz II = 0.59 (league 1.01)
| Cádiz II | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Ceuta II | 0 | 19.7% | 11.7% | 3.5% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 20.3% | 12.1% | 3.6% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 2 | 10.5% | 6.2% | 1.8% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 3.6% | 2.1% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 0.9% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Outcome probabilities: Home win 45.4% · Draw 33.7% · Away win 20.8%
vtt 1 , vtd1