Sat, Mar 28 2026 ā¢ 16:30 ā¢
Estadio Municipal Alfonso Murube
Expected Goals
1.12 (league 1.39)
0.59 (league 1.02)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 48.3% | 32.2% | 19.4% |
best score tips
1 - 0
20.2%
0 - 0
18.1%
1 - 1
12.0%
Score & goals probability table
| Conil | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Ceuta II | 0 | 18.1% | 10.7% | 3.2% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 20.2% | 12.0% | 3.5% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 2 | 11.3% | 6.7% | 2.0% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 4.2% | 2.5% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 1.2% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
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Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Ceuta II | Conil |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 33% | 67% |
| Attack | 27% | 55% |
| Defense | 36% | 64% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 3 | 0.6 | 6 | 1.2 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 7 | 1.4 | 4 | 0.8 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.30
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.30
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.60
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
1.80
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
64%
FT probability
2.5+
45%
FT probability
3.5+
32%
FT probability
BTTS
67%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
- no cards data
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Ceuta II | Conil | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 14 | 13 | 27 | 14 | 13 | 27 |
| Wins | 57% | 15% | 37% | 43% | 38% | 41% |
| Draws | 36% | 23% | 30% | 29% | 23% | 26% |
| Loses | 7% | 62% | 33% | 29% | 38% | 33% |
Form: Ceuta II: LDDWWDDWLWWWLWLWDLLWDLWLLDD ā¢ Conil: LDLLWWLWWDLWDLDDLWDWWLWDWLW
League goals
| Metric | Ceuta II | Conil | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 18 | 11 | 29 | 20 | 13 | 33 |
| GF avg | 1.3 | 0.8 | 1.1 | 1.4 | 1.0 | 1.2 |
| GA total | 8 | 26 | 34 | 18 | 16 | 34 |
| GA avg | 0.6 | 2.0 | 1.3 | 1.3 | 1.2 | 1.3 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Ceuta II | Conil | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 70% | 67% | 74% | 74% |
| 1.5 | 33% | 37% | 37% | 41% |
| 2.5 | 4% | 22% | 7% | 7% |
| 3.5 | 0% | 0% | 4% | 4% |
| 4.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Ceuta II | Conil | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 6 | 3 | 9 | 4 | 3 | 7 |
| Failed to score | 2 | 6 | 8 | 4 | 3 | 7 |
Penalties
| Metric | Ceuta II | Conil |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 0 | 0 |
Streaks
| Metric | Ceuta II | Conil |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 3 | 2 |
| Draws | 2 | 2 |
| Losses | 2 | 2 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 3-1 | 0-2 | 4-2 | 1-2 |
| Biggest losses | 0-1 | 3-0 | 1-3 | 4-1 |
| Goals For | 3 | 2 | 4 | 2 |
| Goals Against | 1 | 3 | 3 | 4 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Ceuta II | Conil |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 33% | 67% |
| Att | 33% | 67% |
| Def | 36% | 64% |
| Poisson Distribution | 66% | 34% |
| H2h | 93% | 7% |
| Goals | 88% | 13% |
| Total | 58.2% | 42.0% |
Advice: Combo Double chance : Ceuta II or draw and -3.5 goals
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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
No odds available for this fixture.
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League standings
Loading standingsā¦
Expected goals (Ī»): Ceuta II = 1.12 (league 1.39), Conil = 0.59 (league 1.02)
| Conil | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Ceuta II | 0 | 18.1% | 10.7% | 3.2% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 20.2% | 12.0% | 3.5% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 2 | 11.3% | 6.7% | 2.0% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 4.2% | 2.5% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 1.2% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Outcome probabilities: Home win 48.3% Ā· Draw 32.2% Ā· Away win 19.4%
vtt 1 , vtd1